A delphi study on health in future India

PIP: A delphi study was conducted to identify or envision health scenarios in India by the year 2000. Questionnaires consisting of 48 questions on 5 areas (diagnosis and therapy; family planning; pharmaceuticals and drugs; biochemical and biomedical research; health services) were mailed to 250 experts in India. 36 responded. Results were compiled and mailed back to the respondents for changes and comments. 17 people responded. Results of the delphi study shows that policy decisions with respect to compulsory family planning as well as health education at secondary school level will precede further breakthroughs in birth control technology. Non operation reversible sterilization procedures, immunological birth control, Ayurvedic medicines for contraception and abortion, and selection of baby's sex are all possible by 2000 thereafter. Complete eradication of infectious diseases, malnutrition and associated diseases is considered unlikely before 2000, as are advances in biomedical research. Changes in health services (e.g., significant increases in hospital beds and doctors, cheap bulk drugs), particularly in rural areas, are imminent, leading to prolonging of life expectancy to 70 years. Genetic engineering may provide significant breakthroughs in the prevention of malignancies and cardiac disorders. The India delphi study is patterned after a similar delphi study conducted in the U.S. by Smith, Kline and French (SKF) Laboratories in 1968. The SKF study was able to predict some breakthroughs with basic research which have been realized.

Technological-forecasting and research inputs in area of birth-control technology

Technological forecasting, defined as quantified probabilistic prediction of timings and degree of change in the technological parameters, capabilities desirability or needs at different times in the future, is applied to birth control technology (BCT) as a means of revealing the paths of most promising research through identifying the necessary points for breakthroughs. The present status of BCT in the areas of pills and the IUD, male contraceptives, immumological approaches, post-coital pills, abortion, sterilization, luteolytic agents, laser technologies, and control of the sex of the child, are each summarized and evaluated in turn. Fine mapping is done to identify the most potentially promising areas of BCT. These include efforts to make oral contraception easier, improvement of the design of the IUD, clinical evaluation of the male contraceptive danazol, the effecting of biochemical changes in the seminal fluid, and researching of immunological approaches and the effects of other new drugs such as prostaglandins. The areas that require immediate and large research inputs are oral contraception and the IUD. On the basis of population and technological forecasts, it is deduced that research efforts could most effectively aid countries like India through the immediate production of an oral contraceptive pill or IUD with long-lasting effects. Development of a pill for males or an immunization against pre gnancy would also have a significant impact. However, the major impediment to birth control programs to date is attitudes, which must be changed through education.

On the positivity and stability of non-stationary systems

The positivity of operators in Hilbert spaces is an important concept finding wide application in various branches of Mathematical System Theory. A frequency- domain condition that ensures the positivity of time-varying operators in L2 with a state-space description, is derived in this paper by using certain newly developed inequalities concerning the input-state relation of such operators. As an interesting application of these results, an L2 stability criterion for time-varying feedback systems consisting of a finite-sector non-linearity is also developed.

Effects of solar radiation pressure and Aerodynamic forces on satelliteattitude Dynamics and their utilization for Control: a survey

The environmcnl exerts an important inJuence on the pefirmance of space systems. A brief rel'iew of mo.s/ of the studies, pre.~ented over the past eightem years, relating to the influence ar7d the possible utilization of thc solar radiation pressure &d aero&namic forces, with particular reference to attitude dynamics and control qf satellites is presented here. The semi-passive stabilizers employing rhese forces show p~qmise of long life, low power and economic sjsfems, which though slower in response, compare we1I wit11 the octiw coi~trollers. It is felt that mud more attention is necessary to the actual implema~tution of these ideas and devices: some of which me quite ingenious und unique.

Cucumber chloroplast trnL(CAA) gene: nucleotide sequence and in vivo expression analysis in etiolated cucumber seedlings treated with benzyladenine and light.

The nucleotide sequence of a 714 bp BamHI-EcoRI fragment of cucumber chloroplast DNA was determined. The fragment contained a gene for tRNA(Leu) together with its flanking regions. The trnL(CAA) gene sequence is about 99% in similarity to broad bean, cauliflower, maize, spinach and tobacco corresponding genes. The relative expression level of the gene was determined by Northern (tRNA) gel blot and Northern (total cellular RNA) slot-blot analyses using the trnL gene probe in 6-day old etiolated cucumber seedlings and the seedlings that had been kept in the dark (dark-grown), treated with benzyladenine (BA) and kept in the dark (BA-treated dark-grown), illuminated (light-grown), and treated with BA and illuminated (BA-treated light-grown), for additional 4, 8 or 12 hr. The trnL transcripts and tRNA(Leu) levels in BA-treated dark-grown seedlings were 5 and 3 times higher, respectively after 4 hr BA treatment, while in the BA treated light-grown seedlings the level of trnL transcripts was only 3 times higher and had no detectable effect on mature tRNA(Leu) when compared to the time-4 hr dark-grown seedlings. However, the level of mature tRNA(Leu) did not show marked changes in the light-grown seedlings, whereas the level of trnL transcripts increases 3 times after 8 hr illumination of dark-grown seedlings. These data indicate that both light and cytokinin can signal changes in plastid tRNA gene expression. The possible regulatory mechanisms for such changes are discussed.

Cucumber chloroplast trnL(CAA) gene: nucleotide sequence and in vivo expression analysis in etiolated cucumber seedlings treated with benzyladenine and light

The nucleotide sequence of a 714 bp BamHI-EcoRI fragment of cucumber chloroplast DNA was determined. The fragment contained a gene for tRNA(Leu) together with its flanking regions. The trnL(CAA) gene sequence is about 99% in similarity to broad bean, cauliflower, maize, spinach and tobacco corresponding genes. The relative expression level of the gene was determined by Northern (tRNA) gel blot and Northern (total cellular RNA) slot-blot analyses using the trnL gene probe in 6-day old etiolated cucumber seedlings and the seedlings that had been kept in the dark (dark-grown), treated with benzyladenine (BA) and kept in the dark (BA-treated dark-grown), illuminated (light-grown), and treated with BA and illuminated (BA- treated light-grown), for additional 4, 8 or 12 hr. The trnL transcripts and tRNA(Leu) levels in BA-treated dark-grown seedlings were 5 and 3 times higher, respectively after 4 hr BA treatment, while in the BA treated light-grown seedlings the level of trnL transcripts was only 3 times higher and had not detectable effect on mature tRNA(Leu) when compared to the time-4 hr dark-grown seedlings. However, the level of mature tRNA(Leu) did not show marked changes in the light-grown seedlings, whereas the level of trnL transcripts increases 3 times after 8 hr illumination of dark-grown seedlings. These date indicate that both light and cytokinin can signal changes in plastid tRNA gene expression. The possible regulatory mechanisms for such changes are discussed.