Mammographic mass-screening and future breast cancer burden in Finland

A population-based early detection program for breast cancer has been in progress in Finland since 1987. According to regulations during the study period 1987-2001, free of charge mammography screening was offered every second year to women aged 50-59 years. Recently, the screening service was decided to be extended to age group 50-69. However, the scope of the program is still frequently discussed in public and information about potential impacts of mass-screening practice changes on future breast cancer burden is required. The aim of this doctoral thesis is to present methodologies for taking into account the mass-screening invitation information in breast cancer burden predictions, and to present alternative breast cancer incidence and mortality predictions up to 2012 based on scenarios of the future screening policy. The focus of this work is not on assessing the absolute efficacy but the effectiveness of mass-screening, and, by utilizing the data on invitations, on showing the estimated impacts of changes in an existing screening program on the short-term predictions. The breast cancer mortality predictions are calculated using a model that combines incidence, cause-specific and other cause survival on individual level. The screening invitation data are incorporated into modeling of breast cancer incidence and survival by dividing the program into separate components (first and subsequent rounds and years within them, breaks, and post screening period) and defining a variable that gives the component of the screening program. The incidence is modeled using a Poisson regression approach and the breast cancer survival by applying a parametric mixture cure model, where the patient population is allowed to be a combination of cured and uncured patients. The patients risk to die from other causes than breast cancer is allowed to differ from that of a corresponding general population group and to depend on age and follow-up time. As a result, the effects of separate components of the screening program on incidence, proportion of cured and the survival of the uncured are quantified. According to the predictions, the impacts of policy changes, like extending the program from age group 50-59 to 50-69, are clearly visible on incidence while the effects on mortality in age group 40-74 are minor. Extending the screening service would increase the incidence of localized breast cancers but decrease the rates of non-localized breast cancer. There were no major differences between mortality predictions yielded by alternative future scenarios of the screening policy: Any policy change would have at the most a 3.0% reduction on overall breast cancer mortality compared to continuing the current practice in the near future.

Genetically Engineered Oncolytic Adenoviruses for the Treatment of Kidney and Breast Cancer

Metastatic kidney and breast cancer are devastating diseases currently lacking efficient treatment options. One promising developmental approach in cancer treatment are oncolytic adenoviruses, which have demonstrated excellent safety in many clinical trials. However, antitumor efficacy needs to be improved in order to make oncolytic viruses a viable treatment alternative. To be able to follow oncolytic virus replication in vivo, we set up a non-invasive imaging system based on coinjection of a replication deficient luciferase expressing virus and a replication competent virus. The system was validated in vitro and in vivo and used in other projects of the thesis. In another study we showed that capsid modifications on adenoviruses result in enhanced gene transfer and increased oncolytic effect on renal cancer cells in vitro. Moreover, capsid modified oncolytic adenoviruses demonstrated significantly improved antitumor efficacy in murine kidney cancer models. To transcriptionally target kidney cancer tissue we evaluated two hypoxia response elements for their usability as tissue specific promoters using a novel dual luciferase imaging system. Based on the results of the promoter evaluation and the studies on capsid modifications, we constructed a transcriptionally and transductionally targeted oncolytic adenovirus armed with an antiangiogenic transgene for enhanced renal cell cancer specificity and improved antitumor efficacy. This virus exhibited kidney cancer specific replication and significantly improved antitumor effect in a murine model of intraperitoneal disseminated renal cell cancer. Cancer stem cells are thought to be resistant to conventional cancer drugs and might play an important role in breast cancer relapse and the formation of metastasis. Therefore, we examined if capsid modified oncolytic adenoviruses are able to kill these cells proposed to be breast cancer initiating. Efficient oncolytic effect and significant antitumor efficacy on tumors established with breast cancer initiating cells was observed, suggesting that oncolytic adenoviruses might be able to prevent breast cancer relapse and could be used in the treatment of metastatic disease. In conclusion, the results presented in this thesis suggest that genetically engineered oncolytic adenoviruses have great potential in the treatment of metastatic kidney and breast cancer.