Quantifying the response of cotton production in eastern Australia to climate change

Abstract The paper evaluates the effect of future climate change (as per the CSIRO Mk3.5 A1FI future climate projection) on cotton yield in Southern Queensland and Northern NSW, eastern Australia by using of the biophysical simulation model APSIM (Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator). The simulations of cotton production show that changes in the influential meteorological parameters caused by climate change would lead to decreased future cotton yields without the effect of CO2 fertilisation. By 2050 the yields would decrease by 17 %. Including the effects of CO2 fertilisation ameliorates the effect of decreased water availability and yields increase by 5.9 % by 2030, but then decrease by 3.6 % in 2050. Importantly, it was necessary to increase irrigation amounts by almost 50 % to maintain adequate soil moisture levels. The effect of CO2 was found to have an important positive impact of the yield in spite of deleterious climate change. This implies that the physiological response of plants to climate change needs to be thoroughly understood to avoid making erroneous projections of yield and potentially stifling investment or increasing risk.

Identification of pathotypes of the sorghum rust pathogen, Puccinia purpurea, in Australia

This study aimed to determine if pathotypic diversity of the sorghum rust pathogen, P. purpurea, exists in eastern Australia. A differential set of 10 Sorghum bicolor genotypes was used to identify four putative pathotypes from the 28 P. purpurea isolates that were tested. Pathotypes 1 and 3 were the most common, together comprising 85.7 % of the isolates tested, while pathotype 2 comprised 10.7 % of isolates, and pathotype 4 the remainder. Based on the limited number of isolates that were tested, there was evidence of geographic specialization amongst the pathotypes, with pathotype 1 not being found in north Queensland. This work has provided conclusive evidence that pathotypes of P. purpurea exist in the sorghum growing regions of Australia and has resulted in the development of a protocol for identifying pathotypes and screening breeding and experimental lines for resistance to these pathotypes. However, further investigations on the pathotypic diversity of P. purpurea and on the temporal and geographic distribution of these four as well as any additional undiscovered pathotypes are needed.