Simulation of the cold climate event 8200 years ago by meltwater outburst from Lake Agassiz

The cold climate anomaly about 8200 years ago is investigated with CLIMBER-2, a coupled atmosphere-ocean-biosphere model of intermediate complexity. This climate model simulates a cooling of about 3.6 K over the North Atlantic induced by a meltwater pulse from Lake Agassiz routed through the Hudson strait. The meltwater pulse is assumed to have a volume of 1.6 x 10^14 m^3 and a period of discharge of 2 years on the basis of glaciological modeling of the decay of the Laurentide Ice Sheet ( LIS). We present a possible mechanism which can explain the centennial duration of the 8.2 ka cold event. The mechanism is related to the existence of an additional equilibrium climate state with reduced North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) formation and a southward shift of the NADW formation area. Hints at the additional climate state were obtained from the largely varying duration of the pulse-induced cold episode in response to overlaid random freshwater fluctuations in Monte Carlo simulations. The model equilibrium state was attained by releasing a weak multicentury freshwater flux through the St. Lawrence pathway completed by the meltwater pulse. The existence of such a climate mode appears essential for reproducing climate anomalies in close agreement with paleoclimatic reconstructions of the 8.2 ka event. The results furthermore suggest that the temporal evolution of the cold event was partly a matter of chance.

Detection of concealed information using event-related potentials

Existe un interés considerable en hallar métodos que nos ayuden a saber cuándo una persona miente y cuándo dice la verdad desde un punto de vista forense. Actualmente, una de las líneas de investigación se inclina hacia el uso de potenciales relacionados con eventos. Se pretende hacer una revisión de los artículos que estudian estos procedimientos mediante distintos métodos: propiedades, fiabilidad, validez y limitaciones. Los resultados indican tasas de acierto en la discriminación de culpables en un rango de 7 al 100 por ciento, y en la de inocentes de 31 a 100 por ciento. La gran variabilidad y la posibilidad de “falsear” las respuestas llevan a cuestionar la inexactitud utilizada en algunos círculos mediáticos respecto a las cualidades y finalidades de dicha prueba. Se concluye la necesidad de profundizar más la posibilidad de que esta prueba sea utilizada con fines forenses.