Responses of summertime extreme wave heights to local climate variations in the East China Sea

We detected the responses of summertime extreme wave heights (H-top10, average of the highest 10% of significant wave heights in June, July and August) to local climate variations in the East China Sea by applying an empirical orthogonal function analysis to Htop10 derived from the WAVEWATCH- III wave model driven by 6 hourly sea surface wind fields from ERA-40 reanalysis over the period 1958-2002. Decreases in H-top10 in the northern East China Sea ( Yellow Sea) correspond to attenuation of the East Asian Summer Monsoon, while increases in the south are primarily due to enhancement of tropical cyclone activities in the western North Pacific.

东中国海波候对局地气候变化的响应研究

波候研究对于解释全球气候变化的内在物理机制，理解全球气候变化后人们的生产、生活环境由此而产生的相关变化都具有重要的现实意义。 本文利用了欧洲中尺度气象中心（ECMWF）所提供的最新的近45年（1957-2002）全球同化资料集，该资料集提供每天4次天气尺度的环境要素信息。本研究从中提取海面矢量风场信息，并以此来驱动第三代海洋波浪模式WAVEWATCH-III v2.22，从而构建了历时45年的西北太平洋地区的波候资料。 使用日本气象厅（Japan Meteorological Agency）所提供的B22001号浮标的实地观测资料，以及美国的TOPEX/POSEIDON 卫星高度计资料对本研究通过数值模拟所获取的波候资料进行验证，发现通过这一方法所重建的历史波候资料完全满足对东中国海波候状况进行分析的精度要求。通过参考前人的研究成果，本研究所获取的波候时间序列满足对气候问题进行评估时所必需的数据序列一致性的基本要求，可以用于长时间序列的分析。 运用经验正交函数（empirical orthogonal function，EOF）分析方法，本研究提取了东中国海地区的极值波高的分布特征。根据分析结果，本研究将时间序列分成“1977年前”和“1977年后”两段，并据此比较两段的变化特征。研究发现，东中国海北部地区（黄海）的极值波高在最近45年内存在缓慢的衰减现象，导致这一现象的原因主要是由于该地区的东亚夏季风正在慢慢减弱。而东中国海南部的极值波高在最近45年内则存在增强的现象，这主要是由于活跃在西北太平洋上的热带气旋正在慢慢加强，由于这些热带气旋所产生的涌浪对东中国近海的影响也在慢慢加深。 通过将本研究的研究成果和前人的成果进行对比，我们不难发现：西北太平洋地区热带气旋活动的增强已经是一个比较普遍接受的事实，而这一变化对东中国近海所能构成的影响范围足以影响到整个东中国海的中南部地区。而东亚季风减弱对东中国海波候所造成的影响，也从另一个角度提示我们，从能量的角度重新审视全球气候变化的内在物理机制或许是非常必要的。

东中国海区域海浪同化系统设计与研究

针对目前海浪同化中没有适合东中国海区的业务应用系统，以及缺乏集合卡尔曼滤波方法（Ensemble Kalman Filter，EnKF）的应用的现状，设计了东中国海区域海浪同化系统。首先比较了目前常用的各种资料同化方法，指出各种同化方法的实质都是一种滤波过程，并选取最优插值方法（Optimal Interpolation，OI）和EnKF方法开展同化试验，动力模式选取WAVEWATCH III，观测资料为Topex/Poseidon卫星高度计观测波高。然后用观测法研究了模式预报误差协方差的统计性质，指出误差相关距离尺度在3°至6°之间。最后用22001号浮标观测资料验证了两个同化系统2000年8月的有效波高计算值，结果表明OI方案的同化系统对有效波高的均方根误差减少了9.0%，系统运行稳定，可应用于业务化部门；EnKF方案的同化系统在集合样本数为50的情况下，对有效波高的均方根误差减少了6.0%，用EnKF方法同化有效波高是可行的。

Influence of liquid bridge volume on the onset of oscillation in floating-zone convection III. Three-dimensional model

An unsteady and three-dimensional model of the floating-half-zone convection on the ground is studied by the direct numerical simulation for the medium of 10 cSt silicon oil, and the influence of the liquid bridge volume on the critical applied temperature difference is especially discussed. The marginal curves for the onset of oscillation are separated into two branches related, respectively, to the slender liquid bridge and the fat liquid bridge. The oscillatory features of the floating-half-zone convection are also discussed.

Effect of dentin tubules on the mechanical properties of dentin - part III: Numerical, analysis

Imitating a real tooth and the periodontal supporting tissues, we have established a 2D finite element model and carried out a numerical analysis based on the inhomogeneous and anisotropic (IA) stress-strain relation and strength model of dentin proposed in the preceding Parts I and II, and the conventional homogeneous and isotropic (III) model, respectively. Quite a few cases of loadings for a non-defected and a defected tooth are considered. The numerical results show that the stress level predicted by the IA model is remarkably higher than that by the III model, revealing that the effect of the dentin tubules should be taken into a serious consideration from the viewpoint of biomechanics.

Asymptotic solution of mode-iii crack in damaged softening materials

In this paper, a constitutive model of elasticity coupled with damage suggested by Lemaitre et al, [1] is used. The macroscopic stress-strain response of the model includes two stages: strain hardening and strain softening. The basic equation is derived for the anti-plane shear problem. Several lowest order asymptotic solutions are obtained, and assembled for the crack-tip fields.

The asymptotic near-tip solution for mode-iii crack in steady growth in power hardening media

Two local solutions, one perpendicular and one parallel to the direction of solar gravitational field, are discussed. The influence of gravity on the gas-dynamical process driven by the piston is discussed in terms of characteristic theory, and the flow field is given quantitatively. For a typical piston trajectory similar to the one for an eruptive prominence, the velocity of the shock front which locates ahead the transient front is nearly constant or slightly accelerated, and the width of the compressed flow region may be kept nearly constant or increased linearly, depending on the velocity distribution of the piston. Based on these results, the major features of the transient may be explained. Some of the fine structure of the transient is also shown, which may be compared in detail with observations.

遥感-岩石力学(III)——交汇断层粘滑的热红外辐射与声发射规律及其构造地震前兆意义

以构造地震孕震机制之三即交汇断层粘滑发震为模拟对象,利用双轴加载实验系统和红外热像仪对自然界经常出现的断层组合模式——不同交汇角度的组合断层的物理模型进行了室内加载实验,利用红外热像仪和声发射仪分别测定了加载过程中试样表面的红外辐射及断层活动的声发射时间序列。结果表明:(1) 声发射及红外辐射的时间序列特征受加载过程中试样的力学行为所控制,并表现出阶段性变化特点;(2) 声发射与红外辐射特征与断层几何结构有密切关系,当主应力与主断层成45°角时,红外辐射异常区主要沿主断层发育;(3) 垂直交汇的断层与斜交断层的声发射及红外辐射特征有明显差异,交汇角度(1°～90°)越大,交汇点处的红外辐射异常越明显。