Comparison Between Lurr And State Vector Analysis Before Strong Earthquakes In Southern California Since 1980

There are seven strong earthquakes with M >= 6.5 that occurred in southern California during the period from 1980 to 2005. In this paper, these earthquakes were studied by the LURR (Load/Unload Response Ratio) method and the State Vector method to detect if there are anomalies before them. The results show that LURR anomalies appeared before 6 earthquakes out of 7 and State Vector anomalies appeared before all 7 earthquakes. For the LURR method, the interval between maximum LURR value and the forthcoming earthquake is 1 to 19 months, and the dominant mean interval is about 10.7 months. For the State Vector method, the interval between the maximum modulus of increment State Vector and the forthcoming earthquake is from 3 to 27 months, but the dominant mean interval between the occurrence time of the maximum State Vector anomaly and the forthcoming earthquake is about 4.7 months. The results also show that the minimum valid space window scale for the LURR and the State Vector is a circle with a radius of 100 km and a square of 3 degrees 3 degrees, respectively. These results imply that the State Vector method is more effective for short-term earthquake prediction than the LURR method, however the LURR method is more effective for location prediction than the State Vector method.

国际尖端材料技术协会(SAMPE)第24届技术会议和第3届金属及金属加工会议(1992年10月20—22日,加拿大多伦多)

<正> 国际尖端材料技术协会(SAMPE:Society for the Advancement of Material and Process Engineering)于1992年10月20—22月在加拿大多伦多市召开了两个国际学术会议:第24届国际SAMPE技术会议(24th Int.SAMPE Techn。Coaf。)和第3届国际金属与金属加工会议(3rd Int.SAMPE Metals and Metals Processin Conf.)。两个会议同时举行,全体会议(Plenary Session)在一个会场举行。前者的主题是“先进材料迎接经济的挑战”;后者的主题是“合成与加工的新进展”.尽管此二会议是在西方发达国家经济很不景