Increasing Critical Sensitivity of the Load/Unload Response Ratio before Large Earthquakes with Identified Stress Acclumulation Pattern

The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) method is proposed for short-to-intermediate-term earthquake prediction [Yin, X.C., Chen, X.Z., Song, Z.P., Yin, C., 1995. A New Approach to Earthquake Prediction — The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) Theory, Pure Appl. Geophys., 145, 701–715]. This method is based on measuring the ratio between Benioff strains released during the time periods of loading and unloading, corresponding to the Coulomb Failure Stress change induced by Earth tides on optimally oriented faults. According to the method, the LURR time series usually climb to an anomalously high peak prior to occurrence of a large earthquake. Previous studies have indicated that the size of critical seismogenic region selected for LURR measurements has great influence on the evaluation of LURR. In this study, we replace the circular region usually adopted in LURR practice with an area within which the tectonic stress change would mostly affect the Coulomb stress on a potential seismogenic fault of a future event. The Coulomb stress change before a hypothetical earthquake is calculated based on a simple back-slip dislocation model of the event. This new algorithm, by combining the LURR method with our choice of identified area with increased Coulomb stress, is devised to improve the sensitivity of LURR to measure criticality of stress accumulation before a large earthquake. Retrospective tests of this algorithm on four large earthquakes occurred in California over the last two decades show remarkable enhancement of the LURR precursory anomalies. For some strong events of lesser magnitudes occurred in the same neighborhoods and during the same time periods, significant anomalies are found if circular areas are used, and are not found if increased Coulomb stress areas are used for LURR data selection. The unique feature of this algorithm may provide stronger constraints on forecasts of the size and location of future large events.

河网城镇水环境设计流量

河网系统中河流环境容量研究的基本困难除流量、流向复杂多变外,在密布的河流控制断面上缺少长系列流量资料是普遍存在的问题.本文以河网地区典型河段为例,基于对邻近地区水文站的水位系列资料及残缺不全的流量资科进行各种有效的关联分析,解决短时段实测资料水文概率的基础上,提出了通过不同水位概率的历史同水位对应流量的加权平均方法,推算环境设计流量及各支流断面流量分解的工程算法,为水环境容量研究及水资源规划提供参考依据.

Kinking of an interface crack between 2 dissimilar anisotropic elastic solids

A detailed analysis of kinking of an interface crack between two dissimilar anisotropic elastic solids is presented in this paper. The branched crack is considered as a distributed dislocation. A set of the singular integral equations for the distribution function of the dislocation density is developed. Explicit formulas of the stress intensity factors and the energy release rates for the branched crack are given for orthotropic bimaterials and misoriented orthotropic bicrystals. The role of the stress parallel to the interface, sigma0 is taken into account in these formulas. The interface crack can advance either by continued extension along the interface or by kinking out of the interface into one of the adjoining materials. This competition depends on the ratio of the energy release rates for interface cracking and for kinking out of the interface and the ratio of interface toughness to substrate toughness. Throughout the paper, the influences of the inplane stress sigma0 on the stress intensity factors and the energy release rates for the branched crack, which can significantly alter the conditions for interface cracking, are emphasized.

A consistent model of isolated force-free magnetic arches

The magnetic flux tube concentrating strong magnetic field is the basic configuration of magneticfield in the solar atmosphere. In the present paper, the equilibrium of isolated magnetic flux tube inthe solar atmosphere is discussed. In the viewpoint of mathematics, the boundary condition is nonlinearand the position of boundary needs to be determined by the physical condition although the equation ofmagnetic potential is linear for the linear force-free field. Analytical solutions to the arches of bothuniform circular cross-section and non-uniform cross section have been obtained. The results show thatthe nonlinear problem may have or not have any solution according to different azimuthal components of the magnetic field; the number of solutions to the nonlinear problem is four at most, and two in some cases. In the present paper, the analytical solutions to the approximations of both fat and slender arches are given in detail, and the general features of magnetic arch structure are shown.

毕生献中华──纪念林同骥先生诞辰80周年

林同骥先生是我国著名流体力学家．在稀薄气体力学、高超声速、跨声速空气动力学和不可压缩流体动力学等广泛的领域中都有重要的研究成果，尤其是在再入飞行器防热、再人物体的表面烧蚀和不可压缩振荡流等方面，为我国航天事业和海洋工程的发展作出了贡献．林同骥先生在１９７９～１９９０年期间先后任《力学学报》副主编、主编．为《力学学报》在改革开放新形势下的发展和进人国际交流大网络倾注了大量心血．在纪念林同骥先生诞辰８０周年之际，我们向读者介绍这位毕生献中华的科学家，并刊出他的学生们的一些论文，以表达怀念与崇敬之情．

飞秒强激光场中大尺寸氩团簇爆炸机理的实验研究

By using time-of-flight spectroscopy, the ionization and explosion of large argon clusters ( (n) over bar = 3 x 10(3) - 3 x 10(6)) in the intense femtosecond pulsed laser field (60 fs,2 x 10(16) W/cm(2)) has been studied, and the dependence of average energy of ions emitted from argon clusters on the gas backing pressure has been measured. By comparing the average ion energies obtained with two different supersonic conical nozzles and considering the Hagena's scaling law of clusters, we have found that the average ion energy is determined by the cluster size when the laser parameters are kept unchanged. The experimental results indicated that when the cluster size is less than 3 x 10(5) atoms per cluster, the Coulomb repulsion force is the dominating factor in the expansion mechanism. Beyond this size, for 3 x 10(5) < (n) over barn < 3 x 10(6), the expansion is the result of the combined effect of both the Coulomb repulsion force and the hydrodynamic force, and the latter will play the dominating role for increasing cluster size.

脉冲啁啾对于阿秒脉冲的影响

采用单电子近似和软核势模型，通过数值求解一维含时薛定谔方程，理论研究了当脉冲分别带有正、负啁啾的情况下所产生的阿秒脉冲，分析了不同脉冲啁啾特性对阿秒脉冲的强度和宽度的影响，研究结果表明，无论是正啁啾还是负啁啾，随着啁啾量的增加，都将使激光脉冲由产生单个阿秒脉冲趋向于产生阿秒脉冲链，正啁啾和负啁啾对于阿秒脉冲宽度的影响是不同的，负啁啾对于阿秒脉冲宽度影响很小，适当的负啁啾有利于缩小阿秒脉冲的宽度；而正啁啾脉冲产生的阿秒脉冲较无啁啾时展宽，且随着啁啾量的增加，其阿秒脉冲宽度迅速增大。

光纤光栅在金属锈蚀传感中的应用

介绍了一种基于光纤布拉格光栅（FBG）应变敏感特性的金属锈蚀传感器。该器件由光纤光栅、有预应力的钢弹簧和一些机械部件组合而成。组合后的弹簧处于压缩状态。在弹簧弹力的作用下，光纤光栅的峰值波长增长了3．213m。对该器件进行了加速腐蚀实验：将其放入盐酸环境中，逐日监测光纤光栅峰值波长的变化，发现峰值波长逐渐缩短，说明弹簧的弹性系数随着弹簧的锈蚀而逐渐减小。到弹簧锈蚀断裂，整个锈蚀过程持续了1315h，平均锈蚀速率约5μm／d。实验表明了该传感器在实际应用中的可能性。同时讨论了光纤光栅的温度效应及其他影响其实

窄带和宽带双曲正割脉冲光束的解析传输式

从近轴波动方程出发推导了窄带和宽带双曲正割脉冲光束的解析传输公式。通过数值计算比较了分别采用复振幅包络(CAE)表示式和复解析信号(CAS)表示式得到的脉冲光束，得出了选择脉冲光束研究方法的条件。结果表明复振幅包络表示式得到的解会存在空间奇异性，使光束出现不符合物理意义的非光束行为。对于宽带光束，复振幅包络解的奇异点的位置距离轴中心较近，使复包络解不能正确表示脉冲光束，而对于奇异点位置远离轴中心的窄带光束，对脉冲光束产生的影响可以忽略。因此，窄带脉冲光束可以采用复振幅包络和复解析信号两种表示式来研究，而对