Monte Carlo Valuation of natural gas investments

This paper deals with the valuation of energy assets related to natural gas. In particular, we evaluate a baseload Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) power plant and an ancillary instalation, namely a Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) facility, in a realistic setting; specifically, these investments enjoy a long useful life but require some non-negligible time to build. Then we focus on the valuation of several investment options again in a realistic setting. These include the option to invest in the power plant when there is uncertainty concerning the initial outlay, or the option's time to maturity, or the cost of CO2 emission permits, or when there is a chance to double the plant size in the future. Our model comprises three sources of risk. We consider uncertain gas prices with regard to both the current level and the long-run equilibrium level; the current electricity price is also uncertain. They all are assumed to show mean reversion. The two-factor model for natural gas price is calibrated using data from NYMEX NG futures contracts. Also, we calibrate the one-factor model for electricity price using data from the Spanish wholesale electricity market, respectively. Then we use the estimated parameter values alongside actual physical parameters from a case study to value natural gas plants. Finally, the calibrated parameters are also used in a Monte Carlo simulation framework to evaluate several American-type options to invest in these energy assets. We accomplish this by following the least squares MC approach.

Simulación y automatización del sistema de aceite de una turbina de gas en un almacenamiento de gas natural.

73 p. : il., col.

Households WTP for the Reliability of Gas Supply

26 p.

Cogeneración con gas natural en una empresa de tratamientos térmicos

[ES]Diseño de una instalación de cogeneración basada en un motor de combustible gas natural para una empresa de tratamientos térmicos y superficiales. Para satisfacer las necesidades energéticas de la planta, la potencia eléctrica la suministrará un alternador conectado al motor y, a su vez, la entalpía de los humos de escape del motor se aprovechará para la producción de vapor de agua, necesario para la actividad industrial de la empresa. Por otro lado, el calor que es necesario disipar de dicho motor se recuperará para el calentamiento de agua de red, con la finalidad de limpiar la taladrina de las piezas tratadas.

Turbomáquinas térmicas: 1. Turbomáquinas térmicas. 2. Estudio y diseño de turbinas de gas. 3. Problemas

Contenido: - Instalaciones de turbina de gas. - Análisis de los procesos termodinámicos. - Conceptos básicos para el análisis de turbinas de gas: a) Instalación de turbina de gas. b) Turbina como máquina térmica. - Análisis mediante el software Turgas.

Optimizing the Curie temperature of pseudo-binary RxR2-x ' Fe-17 (R, R ' = rare earth) for magnetic refrigeration

Several pseudo-binary RxR2-x'Fe-17 alloys (with R = Y, Ce, Pr, Gd and Dy) were synthesized with rhombohedral Th2Zn17-type crystal structure determined from x-ray and neutron powder diffraction. The choice of compositions was done with the aim of tuning the Curie temperature (T-C) in the 270 +/- 20 K temperature range, in order to obtain the maximum magneto-caloric effect around room temperature. The investigated compounds exhibit broad isothermal magnetic entropy changes, Delta S-M(T), with moderate values of the refrigerant capacity, even though the values of Delta S-M(Peak) are relatively low compared with those of the R2Fe17 compounds with R = Pr or Nd. The reduction on the Delta S-M(Peak) is explained in terms of the diminution in the saturation magnetization value. Furthermore, the Delta S-M(T) curves exhibit a similar caret-like behavior, suggesting that the magneto-caloric effect is mainly governed by the Fe-sublattice. A single master curve for Delta S-M/Delta S-M(Peak)(T) under different values of the magnetic field change are obtained for each compound by rescaling of the temperature axis.

Motores térmicos de vapor, gas y de combustión interna a través de PBL (Project Based Learning)

Nivel educativo: Grado. Duración (en horas): De 31 a 40 horas