Sektore automobilistikoaren denborazko prezio-analisia

Lan honek 2007 eta 2013 urteen bitartean autoen prezioak nola aldatzen diren erakusten digu. Horretarako, autoen hainbat ezaugarri hartu dira kontuan, hala nola, modeloa, mota, zilindrada, zilindroen posizioa, potentzia, luzera, zabalera, altuera, kontsumoa, abiadura maximoa, azelerazioa eta maleteroaren kapazitatea. Gaur egungo egoera dela eta, hasiera batean pentsa genezake kotxeen prezioak jaitsi egin direla, baina dituzten aurrerapenak kontuan izanda, logikoena izango zen zenbat eta aldagai garatuagoak izan orduan eta garestiagoak izatea. Beraz, lanaren helburu izango da, emaitza horiek bete diren edo ez frogatzea, eredu ekonometriko bat zehaztuz. Ereduaren estimazioa egiteko erabilitako metodologia Karratu Txikien Arruntak izan dira, baina heterozedastizitatearen arazoa agertu denez, eredu honek ez du bariantza txikiena izango eta beraz estimatzaile berria erabili beharko da, kasu honetan, Karratu Txikienen Zabalduen metodoa erabili da. Urte bakoitzerako egokiagoa den eredua hautatu ondoren eredu orokorra egin dut, horretarako 2007 eta 2013ko datuak begiraturik, bakoitzari dagokion aldagai azaltzaile bat eratu diot, hau da, ezaugarri bakoitza bere urtearekin elkartu dut. Murriztutako eredura heltzerakoan, lortutako emaitzak ikusirik ondorio batera heldu naiz, ondorio hori hasieran planteatutako hipotesiarekin bat datorrela ikusi da, hau da, autoen prezioak proportzionalki jaitsi egin dira, eta ondorioz, autoen ezaugarriak gutxiago baloratzen dira.

Factors behind the wage in the Basque Country

[EN]This project aims to determine the factors which influence workers’ wages in the Basque Country, taking data from the INE (Spanish Statistical Office). In first place, I will decide which variables to choose and describe them. Then they will be used to build a wage model. At this point I will observe their behaviour according to their values and the possible differences between them. Once these variables are described, they will be used to develop an econometric model that will allow to see the different effects of the variables on the endogenous variable, in this case the gross annual wage. Finally, all the analysed data will be taken and examined to draw the final conclusions and see how workers’ age, training or gender affect their salary. [EN]

Wage factors in the Basque Economy

[EN] This project aims to determine the factors which influence workers’ wages in the Basque Country, taking data from the INE (Spanish Statistical Office). In first place, I will decide which variables to choose and describe them. Then they will be used to build a wage model. At this point I will observe their behaviour according to their values and the possible differences between them. Once these variables are described, they will be used to develop an econometric model that will allow to see the different effects of the variables on the endogenous variable, in this case the gross annual wage. Finally, all the analysed data will be taken and examined to draw the final conclusions and see how workers’ age, training or gender affect their salary. [EN]

The Effect of Data Revisions on the Basic New Keynesian Model

This paper proposes an extended version of the basic New Keynesian monetary (NKM) model which contemplates revision processes of output and inflation data in order to assess the importance of data revisions on the estimated monetary policy rule parameters and the transmission of policy shocks. Our empirical evidence based on a structural econometric approach suggests that although the initial announcements of output and inflation are not rational forecasts of revised output and inflation data, ignoring the presence of non well-behaved revision processes may not be a serious drawback in the analysis of monetary policy in this framework. However, the transmission of inflation-push shocks is largely affected by considering data revisions. The latter being especially true when the nominal stickiness parameter is estimated taking into account data revision processes.

An Estimated New-Keynesian Model with Unemployment as Excess Supply of Labor

Wage stickiness is incorporated to a New-Keynesian model with variable capital to drive endogenous unemployment uctuations de ned as the log di¤erence between aggregate labor supply and aggregate labor demand. We estimated such model using Bayesian econometric techniques and quarterly U.S. data. The second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate in the model give a good t to those observed in U.S. data. Our results also show that wage-push shocks, demand shifts and monetary policy shocks are the three major determinants of unemployment fl uctuations. Compared to an estimated New-Keynesian model without unemployment (Smets and Wouters, 2007): wage stickiness is higher, labor supply elasticity is lower, the slope of the New-Keynesian Phillips curve is flatter, and the importance of technology innovations on output variability increases.