Aplicación del análisis de componentes principales a la inmunización financiera: el caso del mercado español de deuda pública

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

On the Informational Role of Term Structure in the U.S. Monetary Policy Rule

This paper uses a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the new Keynesian monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure using both revised and real-time data. The estimation results show that the term spread and policy inertia are both important determinants of the U.S. estimated monetary policy rule whereas the persistence of shocks plays a small but significant role when revised and real-time data of output and inflation are both considered. More importantly, the relative importance of term spread and persistent shocks in the policy rule and the shock transmission mechanism drastically change when it is taken into account that real-time data are not well behaved.

The New Keynesian Monetary Model: Does it Show the Comovement Between Output and Inflation in the U.S.?

Published as article in: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2008), 32(May), pp. 1466-1488.

How Does the New Keynesian Monetary Model Fit in the U.S. and the Eurozone? an Indirect Inference Approach

This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian monetary (NKM) model under alternative specifications of the monetary policy rule using U.S. and Eurozone data. The estimation procedure implemented is a classical method based on the indirect inference principle. An unrestricted VAR is considered as the auxiliary model. On the one hand, the estimation method proposed overcomes some of the shortcomings of using a structural VAR as the auxiliary model in order to identify the impulse response that defines the minimum distance estimator implemented in the literature. On the other hand, by following a classical approach we can further assess the estimation results found in recent papers that follow a maximum-likelihood Bayesian approach. The estimation results show that some structural parameter estimates are quite sensitive to the specification of monetary policy. Moreover, the estimation results in the U.S. show that the fit of the NKM under an optimal monetary plan is much worse than the fit of the NKM model assuming a forward-looking Taylor rule. In contrast to the U.S. case, in the Eurozone the best fit is obtained assuming a backward-looking Taylor rule, but the improvement is rather small with respect to assuming either a forward-looking Taylor rule or an optimal plan.

The Comovement between Monetary and Fiscal Policy Instruments during the Post-War Period in the U.S.

This paper empirically studies the dynamic relationship between monetary and fiscal policies by analyzing the comovements between the Fed funds rate and the primary deficit/output ratio. Simple economic thinking establishes that a negative correlation between Fed rate and deficit arises whenever the two policy authorities share a common stabilization objective. However, when budget balancing concerns lead to a drastic deficit reduction the Fed may reduce the Fed rate in order to smooth the impact of fiscal policy, which results in a positive correlation between these two policy instruments. The empirical results show (i) a significant negative comovement between Fed rate and deficit and (ii) that deficit and output gap Granger-cause the Fed funds rate during the post-Volcker era, but the opposite is not true.

Consumer Confidence and Yield Spreads in Europe

This paper shows the extraordinary capacity of yield spreads to anticipate consumption growth as proxy by the Economic Sentiment Indicator elaborated by the European Commission in order to predict turning points in business cycles. This new evidence complements the well known results regarding the usefulness of the slope of the term structure of interest rates to predict real economic conditions and, in particular, recessions by using a direct measure of expectations. A linear combination of European yield spreads explains a surprising 93.7% of the variability of the Economic Sentiment Indicator. Yield spreads seem to be a key determinant of consumer confidence in Europe.

Explosive Hyperinflation, Inflation Tax Laffer Curve and Modelling the use of Money

This paper analyzes the existence of an inflation tax Laffer curve (ITLC) in the context of two standard optimizing monetary models: a cash-in-advance model and a money in the utility function model. Agents’ preferences are characterized in the two models by a constant relative risk aversion utility function. Explosive hyperinflation rules out the presence of an ITLC. In the context of a cash-in-advance economy, this paper shows that explosive hyperinflation is feasible and thus an ITLC is ruled out whenever the relative risk aversion parameter is greater than one. In the context of an optimizing model with money in the utility function, this paper firstly shows that an ITLC is ruled out. Moreover, it is shown that explosive hyperinflations are more likely when the transactions role of money is more important. However, hyperinflationary paths are not feasible in this context unless certain restrictions are imposed.

Is there a Phillips Curve in the US and the EU15 Countries? An empirical investigation

This paper studies the comovement between output and inflation in the EU15 countries. Following den Haan (2000), I use the correlations of VAR forecast errors at different horizons in order to analyze the output-inflation relationship. The empirical results show that eight countries display a significant positive comovement between output and inflation. Moreover, the empirical evidence suggests that a Phillips curve phenomenom is more likely to be detected in countries where inflation is more stable.

Switching Regimes in the Term Structure of Interest Rates During U.S. Post-War: A case for the Lucas proof equilibrium?

Published as an article in: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2004, vol. 8, issue 1, pages 5.

An Estimated New-Keynesian Model with Unemployment as Excess Supply of Labor

Wage stickiness is incorporated to a New-Keynesian model with variable capital to drive endogenous unemployment uctuations de ned as the log di¤erence between aggregate labor supply and aggregate labor demand. We estimated such model using Bayesian econometric techniques and quarterly U.S. data. The second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate in the model give a good t to those observed in U.S. data. Our results also show that wage-push shocks, demand shifts and monetary policy shocks are the three major determinants of unemployment fl uctuations. Compared to an estimated New-Keynesian model without unemployment (Smets and Wouters, 2007): wage stickiness is higher, labor supply elasticity is lower, the slope of the New-Keynesian Phillips curve is flatter, and the importance of technology innovations on output variability increases.

The Determinants of Energy Efficiency Investments in the U.S.

31 p.

Long Run Demand for Energy Services: the Role of Economic and Technological Development

36 p.

Caracterización a impacto de caucho reciclado mediante elementos finitos

Análisis de caucho reciclado de manera hiperelástica mediante métodos de ajuste de Mínimos Cuadrados con programa MATLAB y Curve fitting mediante ANSYS. Para la parte viscoelástica se usa Algoritmo de Optimicación con MATLAB. Comprobación de resultados y fiabilidad.

E. U. Magisterio de Vitoria-Gasteiz. Plan general Practicum I. Comisión de prácticas, 21 de marzo de 2011

[ES]La adaptación de la Universidad Española al Espacio Europeo de Educación Superior (EEES) ha supuesto un cambio en los estudios universitarios que se advierte en su estructura (títulos de grado de cuatro años,) y que debe manifestarse también en las metodologías utilizadas. En los estudios de Magisterio la nueva ordenación de las enseñanzas ha supuesto la unificación de las anteriores especialidades en dos títulos de grado: Maestro de Educación Infantil y Maestro de Educación Primaria. En estos nuevos títulos las Prácticas de Enseñanza continúan teniendo un importante papel y constituyen un momento privilegiado de integración entre la teoría y la realidad de las aulas. El Practicum es el conjunto de actividades en las que diversas instituciones colaboran con la Escuela Universitaria de Magisterio, a fin de poner al alumnado en contacto con el mundo profesional. Supone la inmersión de los estudiantes en centros educativos con la finalidad de conocerlos directamente, integrar conocimientos teórico-prácticos, y adquirir competencias profesionales en todos los ámbitos de actuación.

E. U. Magisterio de Vitoria-Gasteiz. Plan general Practicum II. Comisión de prácticas, 21 de marzo de 2012

[ES]El Módulo de Practicum se organiza en dos materias: Prácticas escolares (38 créditos ECTS), y Trabajo fin de grado (12 créditos ECTS). Las prácticas escolares se realizarán en los dos ciclos de Educación Infantil (0-3, 3-6) y en los tres de Primaria (1ª-2º, 3º-4º, 5º-6º). Al tratarse de un Practicum progresivo, los estudiantes de los grados de Magisterio cursan la materia a lo largo del segundo, tercer y cuarto curso (Practicum I, Practicum II y Practicum III) con contenidos que tienen continuidad y que suponen un nivel de competencia superior respecto el anterior. El Practicum supone para el alumnado una oportunidad de adquirir e integrar las habilidades, los conocimientos, las competencias y la práctica necesarios para el ejercicio de su profesión, así como una ocasión para reflexionar de forma individual y grupal acerca del aprendizaje realizado. El Practicum I pretende que el alumnado establezca un primer contacto como futuros profesionales con un centro escolar, y realice una observación de carácter global, integrando los conocimientos aprendidos en la Escuela de Magisterio, ajustándolos a la diversidad del aula, a la escuela y al entorno social de ésta, y dedicando una especial atención al tratamiento de género. El Practicum II, al que se refiere esta guía, corresponde al tercer curso y se centra en el desarrollo docente de experiencias de enseñanza y aprendizaje con alumnado de la etapa, la implicación en la vida del ciclo y etapa y el ejercicio de la autocrítica y la reflexión en relación al propio desarrollo formativo y profesional. Se pretende que los estudiantes reflexionen de forma crítica sobre su conocimiento práctico inicial puesto en acción en esos contextos y sobre las condiciones que determinan su forma de pensar y actuar. El Practicum III está relacionado con las menciones (minor) y con la participación en proyectos de innovación.