The Comovement between Monetary and Fiscal Policy Instruments during the Post-War Period in the U.S.

This paper empirically studies the dynamic relationship between monetary and fiscal policies by analyzing the comovements between the Fed funds rate and the primary deficit/output ratio. Simple economic thinking establishes that a negative correlation between Fed rate and deficit arises whenever the two policy authorities share a common stabilization objective. However, when budget balancing concerns lead to a drastic deficit reduction the Fed may reduce the Fed rate in order to smooth the impact of fiscal policy, which results in a positive correlation between these two policy instruments. The empirical results show (i) a significant negative comovement between Fed rate and deficit and (ii) that deficit and output gap Granger-cause the Fed funds rate during the post-Volcker era, but the opposite is not true.

Markov Switching Risk Premium and the term structure of interest rates. Empirical evidence from US post-war interest rates

This paper considers the basic present value model of interest rates under rational expectations with two additional features. First, following McCallum (1994), the model assumes a policy reaction function where changes in the short-term interest rate are determined by the long-short spread. Second, the short-term interest rate and the risk premium processes are characterized by a Markov regime-switching model. Using US post-war interest rate data, this paper finds evidence that a two-regime switching model fits the data better than the basic model. The estimation results also show the presence of two alternative states displaying quite different features.

The changing behaviour of the term structure of post-war US

Using U.S. interest rate data covering the period 1950:1-1992:7, this paper tests the rational expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. We show evidence that the rational expectations model of the term structure is supported by the data during the seventies and a period lasting from the mid-eighties to the end of the sample. However, during the …fties, sixties and a period that covers most of the Volcker’s office term (from September 1979 to April 1986) the term structure model is rejected by the data. Moreover, wefind evidence of regime changes in the short-term rate process and the term structure of interest rates. These regime switches roughly coincide with changes in the Federal Reserve chairman. The switches in monetary policy taking place when the chairmanship of the Federal Reserve changes therefore seem to play an important role in characterizing the term structure of interest rates.

Switching Regimes in the Term Structure of Interest Rates During U.S. Post-War: A case for the Lucas proof equilibrium?

Published as an article in: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2004, vol. 8, issue 1, pages 5.

[A_Vitoria_SantaMaria] Documentación geométrica de las excavaciones de la Catedral de Santa María (Vitoria-Gasteiz). Mayo 2000-Junio 2003

[ES] Información sobre este proyecto ha servido de base a los siguientes artículos:

Autrigones, caristios, várdulos y berones. Contribuciones historiográficas (1983-2003) relativas a su evolución en época prerromana y romana

[ES] Se presenta un balance historiográfico con las propuestas y debates relevantes, originados a partir de la información, revisada o relativa a nuevos hallazgos, transmitida para estos grupos de población en los testimonios directos, arqueológicos, epigráficos o numismáticos, así como en las referencias correspondientes a autores greco-latinos.

La información televisiva en campaña electoral. Análisis de las noticias en ETB y TVE durante las elecciones municipales y autonómicas de mayo de 2003

401 p.

Origen y evolución de la relación entre periodistas y militares en operaciones. El sistema de empotrados Irak 2003

344 p.

Las Mujeres en Colombia por la paz

Tesina de Master para el Magíster en Género y Desarrollo, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales, Universidad Complutense de Madrid. 94 p.

Humanism after the Spanish Civil War: Gernika (1945-53), a Humanities and Social Sciencesbasque magazine

Espainiako Gerra Zibilaren eta II. Mundu Gerrarren ostean Gerra Hotza heldu zen. Testuinguru larri horretan humanismoan ikusi zuten hainbatek zibilizazio-krisiari irtenbidea topatzeko bidea. Gernika aldizkariak (1945-53) bere burua humanistatzat zeukan. Bertako idazleek gai horren inguruan zer adierazi zuten jasotzen saiatu gara, euskarazko zein erdarazko artikuluetan agertzen diren iritziak sailkatuz.

Análisis econométrico de la tasa de participación femenina en España (2003-2012)

El objetivo de este trabajo se basa en analizar la variación de la tasa de participación femenina en España en el periodo 2003- 2012. Para la explicación se tiene en cuenta la influencia de variable explicativas además de la influencia de la crisis, todo ello explicado y concluido a través de un modelo de regresión lineal general. ESPAÑOL