Use of generalised additive models to categorise continuous variables in clinical prediction

13 P.

La evolución de la intensidad energética de la industria vasca entre 1982-2001: Un análisis de descomposición

In this article an index decomposition methodology is used to estimate the effect of intersectorial and intrasectorial changes in explaining the 38% reduction in industrial energy intensity in the Basque Autonomous Community from 1982 to 2001. Period-wise additive decomposition results show that (1) the decline is fully explained by intrasectorial changes and that (2) intersectorial changes have not contributed to reduce but to increase the energy intensity of the Basque industrial sector. However, timeseries decomposition analysis shows that (1) four different phases can be distinguished in the evolution of energy intensity of the Basque industry from 1982 to 2001 and (2) that the evolution of the “Iron and Steel” sector is determinant when explaining those phases. Moreover, the analysis stresses the necessity to disaggregate the “Iron and Steel” sector in order to be able to distinguish purely technological effects from the rest of intrasectorial changes.

Aplicación del análisis de componentes principales a la inmunización financiera: el caso del mercado español de deuda pública

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Optimization of solution-processed oligothiophene:fullerene based organic solar cells by using solvent additives

The optimization of solution-processed organic bulk-heterojunction solar cells with the acceptor-substituted quinquethiophene DCV5T-Bu-4 as donor in conjunction with PC61BM as acceptor is described. Power conversion efficiencies up to 3.0% and external quantum efficiencies up to 40% were obtained through the use of 1-chloronaphthalene as solvent additive in the fabrication of the photovoltaic devices. Furthermore, atomic force microscopy investigations of the photoactive layer gave insight into the distribution of donor and acceptor within the blend. The unique combination of solubility and thermal stability of DCV5T-Bu-4 also allows for fabrication of organic solar cells by vacuum deposition. Thus, we were able to perform a rare comparison of the device characteristics of the solution-processed DCV5T-Bu-4:PC61BM solar cell with its vacuum-processed DCV5T-Bu-4:C-60 counterpart. Interestingly in this case, the efficiencies of the small-molecule organic solar cells prepared by using solution techniques are approaching those fabricated by using vacuum technology. This result is significant as vacuum-processed devices typically display much better performances in photovoltaic cells. Keywords

Aplicaciones de las tecnologías de fabricación aditiva en la industria actual

[ES]En el ámbito industrial actual, la fabricación aditiva supone una alternativa para dar respuesta a las nuevas necesidades del mercado, que no pueden verse resueltas mediante las técnicas de fabricación clásicas. La fabricación aditiva (AM Adittive Manufacturing) representa un cambio en métodos y procesos industriales, permitiendo llevar a cabo piezas antes imposibles de realizar. Tiene sus principales aplicaciones en el sector médico, aeronáutico o el sector de la automoción. Se dan numerosas técnicas clasificadas por diferentes criterios, como el medio a través del cual se aporta la energía. Presenta numerosas ventajas como la complejidad en la geometría de las piezas que se pueden fabricar, a pesar de que aún no está totalmente desarrollada y presenta limitaciones como el coste de material. Todo el diseño parte de las tecnologías CAD/CAM 3D, y se fabrica ya en una amplia variedad de materiales, tanto metálicos como plásticos. Aún bajo poca normativa, se espera que en las próximas décadas esta tecnología desarrolle todo su potencial y sea de uso habitual en los sectores propicios para su explotación.

Improved Mechanical Properties of Compatibilized Polypropylene/Polyamide-12 Blends

Compatibilized blends of polypropylene (PP) and polyamide-12 (PA12) as a second component were obtained by direct injection molding having first added 20% maleic anhydride-modified copolymer (PP-g-MA) to the PP, which produced partially grafted PP (gPP). A nucleating effect of the PA12 took place on the cooling crystallization of the gPP, and a second crystallization peak of the gPP appeared in the PA12-rich blends, indicating changes in the crystalline morphology. There was a slight drop in the PA12 crystallinity of the compatible blends, whereas the crystallinity of the gPP increased significantly in the PA12-rich blends. The overall reduction in the dispersed phase particle size together with the clear increase in ductility when gPP was used instead of PP proved that compatibilization occurred. Young's modulus of the blends showed synergistic behavior. This is proposed to be both due to a change in the crystalline morphology of the blends on the one hand and, on the other, in the PA12-rich blends, to the clear increase in the crystallinity of the gPP phase, which may, in turn, have been responsible for the increase in its continuity and its contribution to the modulus.

Community Turnover of Wood-Inhabiting Fungi across Hierarchical Spatial Scales

For efficient use of conservation resources it is important to determine how species diversity changes across spatial scales. In many poorly known species groups little is known about at which spatial scales the conservation efforts should be focused. Here we examined how the community turnover of wood-inhabiting fungi is realised at three hierarchical levels, and how much of community variation is explained by variation in resource composition and spatial proximity. The hierarchical study design consisted of management type (fixed factor), forest site (random factor, nested within management type) and study plots (randomly placed plots within each study site). To examine how species richness varied across the three hierarchical scales, randomized species accumulation curves and additive partitioning of species richness were applied. To analyse variation in wood-inhabiting species and dead wood composition at each scale, linear and Permanova modelling approaches were used. Wood-inhabiting fungal communities were dominated by rare and infrequent species. The similarity of fungal communities was higher within sites and within management categories than among sites or between the two management categories, and it decreased with increasing distance among the sampling plots and with decreasing similarity of dead wood resources. However, only a small part of community variation could be explained by these factors. The species present in managed forests were in a large extent a subset of those species present in natural forests. Our results suggest that in particular the protection of rare species requires a large total area. As managed forests have only little additional value complementing the diversity of natural forests, the conservation of natural forests is the key to ecologically effective conservation. As the dissimilarity of fungal communities increases with distance, the conserved natural forest sites should be broadly distributed in space, yet the individual conserved areas should be large enough to ensure local persistence.

Reciclado de polvo inconel 718 y evolución de las propiedades de los componentes fabricados con los mismos.

[ES]El objetivo de este trabajo ha sido la determinación de un proceso para la reutilización del polvo metálico desperdiciado durante el proceso de aporte por láser. El polvo necesita ser inyectado para ser fundido directamente sobre el aporte pero un alto porcentaje de las partículas golpean el área no fundida y directamente rebotan fuera de la zona de aporte. La eficiencia de las partículas depositadas puede bajar hasta el 40 % dependiendo de la configuración y del tamaño del punto de aporte. El material utilizado ha sido la superaleación de níquel Inconel 718 debido a su potencial aplicación en procesos de fabricación aditiva. Después del primer uso, el polvo es recolectado y tamizado. La fracción indeseada es magnéticamente segregada y la parte limpia es nuevamente tamizada para obtener datos y de nuevo mezclada para estar lista para la reutilización. No ha sido añadido polvo nuevo a la fracción recuperada y este procedimiento ha sido repetido 5 veces. Los test experimentales muestran que el material depositado presenta resultados similares a aquellos obtenidos con polvo nuevo. La implementación de este proceso permite la mejora de la eficiencia final reduciendo tanto costes como residuos materiales.

Proposal and validation of methodologies for the categorisation of continuous variables in the development of prediction models

158 p.