GCM-data intercomparison: the good news and the bad

EXTRACT (SEE PDF FOR FULL ABSTRACT): General circulation models (GCMs) are probably the most sophisticated theoretical tools we have to simulate possible climatic effects of increasing carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. ... As will be illustrated here using a variety of examples, although the models do simulate "reality" very well on the "grand" scale (e.g., global, hemispheric, zonal), substantial differences are more apparent as the scale is reduced to areas particularly relevant to regional planners. It is particularly important that workers more clearly recognize the potential dangers in relying too heavily on simple summary statistics such as averages estimated over large regional scales. Many shortcomings are apparent in the model simulations of the present climate, indicating that further model improvements are needed to achieve reliable regional and seasonal projections of the future climatic conditions.

News from Academy Bay

Royal Visit. The Vice President of Ecuador in the Galápagos. The Galápagos Marine Resources Reserve. The Charles Darwin Foundation Endowment Fund. Repatriation of Captive-bred Land Iguanas. The 1987 Flamingo Census. Experimental Plantations to Provide Building Timber. Visitors and Events at the Charles Darwin Research Station.

News from Academy Bay

Conservation problems and programmes. The giant tortoises. The land iguanas. The Hawaiian petrels. The penguins, cormorants and gulls. The fire ants. The control of introduced mammals. Botany. Marine biology. Galapagos cave faunas. Rare twin births of giant tortoises. Visitors and events at the Charles Darwin Research Station (CDRS).

News from Academy Bay

Recent appointments in Washington office. El Niño volume available. Ira Wiggins dies. Nominations to the Royal Society. Index to Noticias de Galápagos. Dictionaries wanted - used or new. International workshops focus on Galápagos.

News from Academy Bay

Oil Spill in Galápagos. Derrame de Combustible en las Aguas de Galápagos. Beagle V: The Station's New Vessel. Children Conservationists. Niños Conservacionistas. Fruto del Empeño: Nuevo Edificio en San Cristóbal. New Building in Isla San Cristóbal. CDRS Director in Argentina. Van Straelen Gift. Change in Directorship at the CDRS. Cambio del Director en la Estación Científica. International Symposium/Workshop on the Herpetology of the Galápagos Islands: Research & Conservation.

News from Academy Bay

Proclamation of a Great Galapagos Marine Reserve. Recovery of the Marine Iguana Population After the El Niño Catastrophe. The Española Tortoises - a Very Special Case. A Botanical Workshop at the Darwin Station. The Campaign to Save the Hawaiian Petrel. Visitors to the Galapagos National Park. Re-opening of the Cristobal Bonifaz Building. Joint Operational Planning. Meeting of the Permanent Commission for the South Pacific. Galapagos Conservationists Receive WWF Award.

News from Academy Bay

Donacion Japonesa. Japanese Donation. Nuevo Gerente en la ECCD. New Manager for the CDRS. Un "Rose-breasted Grosbeak" en Galapagos. A Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Galapagos.

News from Academy Bay

Donation Made in Memory of Last Grandchild of Ecuador's First President. Deaths of CDF Board Members. Major Gift by Mrs. Louise Van Straelen-Poirier. Itasca to Galápagos. Station Research Vessel.

News from Academy Bay

Change in Directorship at the Charles Darwin Research Station. H.R.H. Prince Henri of Luxembourg Visits Galápagos. 25 More Years : Agreement Renewed Between the Ecuadorian Government and the Charles Darwin Foundation to Operate the Charles Darwin Research Station. A Dawn of Despair : Journey to Alcedo.

News from Academy Bay

Ecología de los Chivos Ferales (Capra hircus) en el Volcán Alcedo. Ecology of Feral Goats (Capra hircus) on Alcedo Volcano. Pepino War, 1992.

News from Academy Bay

One Hundred and Fifty Years Ago. The Great Fire on Isabela. Campaign for a CDF Endowment Fund. The Extraordinary Consequences of the Extraordinary El Niño. Eternal Vigilance.

News from Academy Bay

President Febres Cordero visits the Galapagos. Ordeal by fire and water. Unusual reports on the Galapagos albatross. Protecting the Hawaiian Petrel. Sealion gives birth to twins. CDF officers decorated by the Government of Ecuador. Staff changes. The question of re-introducing Galapagos hawks to certain islands - a clarification. Visits and events at the Charles Darwin Research Station.

News from Academy Bay

The 25th anniversary of the Galapagos National Park. Fire at the Darwin Research Station. The control of introduced mammals. Good news about the Hood tortoises. The endangered land iguanas. Penguins, cormorants and flamingos in 1984. A workshop on national parks. International conservation award to Secretary Ripley. Visits and events at the Charles Darwin Research Station.

News from Academy Bay

Plant nursery at CDRS. Tortoises from Cerro Paloma, Isabela Threatened. Goats damage Volcán Alcedo, Isabela. Collections at the CDRS Museum. Goats on Pinta again? Is there a Guadalupe River in Galápagos? Eastern kingbird sighting. Words out of the past.

News from Academy Bay

It is Scalesia atractyloides! The Marine Biology Laboratory Renaissance. The CDRS Research Vessel Beagle. Alcedo Update. Benefit Art Show Held on Santa Cruz. New Construction. Geological Activity? High Technology Science. More Pinta News. First Record of the Green Heron (Butorides viriscens) in the Galápagos Islands. Galápagos Explorer Goes Aground. A Flight Over Isabela's Northern Volcanoes.