Sources of selection bias in evaluating social programs: An interpretation of conventional measures and evidence on the effectiveness of matching as a program evaluation method

This paper decomposes the conventional measure of selection bias in observational studies into three components. The first two components are due to differences in the distributions of characteristics between participant and nonparticipant (comparison) group members: the first arises from differences in the supports, and the second from differences in densities over the region of common support. The third component arises from selection bias precisely defined. Using data from a recent social experiment, we find that the component due to selection bias, precisely defined, is smaller than the first two components. However, selection bias still represents a substantial fraction of the experimental impact estimate. The empirical performance of matching methods of program evaluation is also examined. We find that matching based on the propensity score eliminates some but not all of the measured selection bias, with the remaining bias still a substantial fraction of the estimated impact. We find that the support of the distribution of propensity scores for the comparison group is typically only a small portion of the support for the participant group. For values outside the common support, it is impossible to reliably estimate the effect of program participation using matching methods. If the impact of participation depends on the propensity score, as we find in our data, the failure of the common support condition severely limits matching compared with random assignment as an evaluation estimator.

In vitro selection of RNA molecules that displace cocaine from the membrane-bound nicotinic acetylcholine receptor

The nicotinic acetylcholine receptor (AChR) controls signal transmission between cells in the nervous system. Abused drugs such as cocaine inhibit this receptor. Transient kinetic investigations indicate that inhibitors decrease the channel-opening equilibrium constant [Hess, G. P. & Grewer, C. (1998) Methods Enzymol. 291, 443–473]. Can compounds be found that compete with inhibitors for their binding site but do not change the channel-opening equilibrium? The systematic evolution of RNA ligands by exponential enrichment methodology and the AChR in Torpedo californica electroplax membranes were used to find RNAs that can displace inhibitors from the receptor. The selection of RNA ligands was carried out in two consecutive steps: (i) a gel-shift selection of high-affinity ligands bound to the AChR in the electroplax membrane, and (ii) subsequent use of nitrocellulose filters to which both the membrane-bound receptor and RNAs bind strongly, but from which the desired RNA can be displaced from the receptor by a high-affinity AChR inhibitor, phencyclidine. After nine selection rounds, two classes of RNA molecules that bind to the AChR with nanomolar affinities were isolated and sequenced. Both classes of RNA molecules are displaced by phencyclidine and cocaine from their binding site on the AChR. Class I molecules are potent inhibitors of AChR activity in BC3H1 muscle cells, as determined by using the whole-cell current-recording technique. Class II molecules, although competing with AChR inhibitors, do not affect receptor activity in this assay; such compounds or derivatives may be useful for alleviating the toxicity experienced by millions of addicts.

Is sexual selection and species recognition a continuum? Mating behavior of the stalk-eyed fly Drosophila heteroneura

If behavioral isolation between species can evolve as a consequence of sexual selection within a species, then traits that are both sexually selected and used as a criterion of species recognition by females should be identifiable. The broad male head of the Hawaiian picture-winged fly Drosophila heteroneura is a novel sexual dimorphism that may be sexually selected and involved in behavioral isolation from D. silvestris. We found that males with broad heads are more successful in sexual selection, both through female mate choice and through aggressive interactions. However, female D. heteroneura do not discriminate against hybrids on the basis of their head width. Thus, this novel trait is sexually selected but is not a major contributor to species recognition. Our methods should be applicable to other species in which behavioral isolation is a factor.

Escherichia coli strains that allow antibiotic-free plasmid selection and maintenance by repressor titration

We report the construction of two novel Escherichia coli strains (DH1lacdapD and DH1lacP2dapD) that facilitate the antibiotic-free selection and stable maintenance of recombinant plasmids in complex media. They contain the essential chromosomal gene, dapD, under the control of the lac operator/promoter. Unless supplemented with IPTG (which induces expression of dapD) or DAP, these cells lyse. However, when the strains are transformed with a multicopy plasmid containing the lac operator, the operator competitively titrates the LacI repressor and allows expression of dapD from the lac promoter. Thus transformants can be isolated and propagated simply by their ability to grow on any medium by repressor titration selection. No antibiotic resistance genes or other protein expressing sequences are required on the plasmid, and antibiotics are not necessary for plasmid selection, making these strains a valuable tool for therapeutic DNA and recombinant protein production. We describe the construction of these strains and demonstrate plasmid selection and maintenance by repressor titration, using the new pORT plasmid vectors designed to facilitate recombinant DNA exploitation.

Sequence specificity of triplex DNA formation: Analysis by a combinatorial approach, restriction endonuclease protection selection and amplification.

We have devised a combinatorial method, restriction endonuclease protection selection and amplification (REPSA), to identify consensus ligand binding sequences in DNA. In this technique, cleavage by a type IIS restriction endonuclease (an enzyme that cleaves DNA at a site distal from its recognition sequence) is prevented by a bound ligand while unbound DNA is cleaved. Since the selection step of REPSA is performed in solution under mild conditions, this approach is amenable to the investigation of ligand-DNA complexes that are either insufficiently stable or not readily separable by other methods. Here we report the use of REPSA to identify the consensus duplex DNA sequence recognized by a G/T-rich oligodeoxyribonucleotide under conditions favoring purine-motif triple-helix formation. Analysis of 47 sequences indicated that recognition between 13 bases on the oligonucleotide 3' end and the duplex DNA was sufficient for triplex formation and indicated the possible existence of a new base triplet, G.AT. This information should help identify appropriate target sequences for purine-motif triplex formation and demonstrates the power of REPSA for investigating ligand-DNA interactions.

Protein-protein interaction: a genetic selection for compensating mutations at the barnase-barstar interface.

Barnase and barstar are trivial names of the extracellular RNase and its intracellular inhibitor produced by Bacillus amyloliquefaciens. Inhibition involves the formation of a very tight one-to-one complex of the two proteins. With the crystallographic solution of the structure of the barnase-barstar complex and the development of methods for measuring the free energy of binding, the pair can be used to study protein-protein recognition in detail. In this report, we describe the isolation of suppressor mutations in barstar that compensate for the loss in interaction energy caused by a mutation in barnase. Our suppressor search is based on in vivo selection for barstar variants that are able to protect host cells against the RNAse activity of those barnase mutants not properly inhibited by wild-type barstar. This approach utilizes a plasmid system in which barnase expression is tightly controlled to keep the mutant barnase gene silent. When expression of barnase is turned on, failure to form a complex between the mutant barnase and barstar has a lethal effect on host cells unless overcome by substitution of the wild-type barstar by a functional suppressor derivative. A set of barstar suppressors has been identified for barnase mutants with substitutions in two amino acid positions (residues 102 and 59), which are critically involved in both RNase activity and barstar binding. The mutations selected as suppressors could not have been predicted on the basis of the known protein structures. The single barstar mutation with the highest information content for inhibition of barnase (H102K) has the substitution Y30W. The reduction in binding caused by the R59E mutation in barnase can be partly reversed by changing Glu-76 of barstar, which forms a salt bridge with the Arg-59 in the wild-type complex, to arginine, thus completing an interchange of the two charges.