Estimating sequestered parasite population dynamics in cerebral malaria

Clinical investigation of malaria is hampered by the lack of a method for estimating the number of parasites that are sequestered in the tissues, for it is these parasites that are thought to be crucial to the pathogenesis of life-threatening complications such as cerebral malaria. We present a method of estimating this hidden population by using clinical observations of peripheral parasitemia combined with an age-structured mathematical model of the parasite erythrocyte cycle. Applying the model to data from 217 Gambian children undergoing treatment for cerebral malaria we conclude that although artemether clears parasitemia more rapidly than quinine, the clearance of sequestered parasites is similar for the two drugs. The estimated sequestered mass was found to be a more direct predictor of fatal outcome than clinically observed parasitemia. This method allows a sequential analysis of sequestered parasite population dynamics in children suffering from cerebral malaria, and the results offer a possible explanation for why artemether provides less advantage than might have been expected over quinine in reducing mortality despite its rapid effect on circulating parasites.

Clinical relevance of the Helicobacter pylori gene for blood-group antigen-binding adhesin

Infection with Helicobacter pylori is associated with different human gastric diseases. Biochemical studies, in vitro adherence assays, and in vivo animal models revealed that epithelial attachment of H. pylori can be mediated by the blood-group antigen-binding adhesin (BabA) targeting human Lewisb surface epitopes. Studies with transgenic mice expressing the Lewisb epitope have shown that such attachment can alter disease outcome. In the current study, the presence of the babA2 gene encoding the adhesin was investigated in clinical isolates from a German population by using PCR and reverse transcription–PCR. A positive genotype was correlated to allelic variations in the genes encoding VacA and CagA and also to the prevalence of duodenal ulcer, distal gastric adenocarcinoma, mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue lymphoma, and antral gastritis. The presence of babA2 was significantly associated with duodenal ulcer (P = 0.0002) and adenocarcinoma (P = 0.033). In contrast, type 1 strains (vacAs1- and cagA-positive) were associated with only duodenal ulcer (P = 0.004) but not adenocarcinoma (P = 0.235). Genotype presence of babA2, vacAs1, and cagA (“triple-positive” strains) showed a highly significant correlation to the prevalence of ulcer (P = 0.000002) and adenocarcinoma (P = 0.014) and discriminated significantly better between disease outcome than did the current type 1 classification. These results indicate that the babA2 gene is of high clinical relevance and would be a useful marker to identify patients who are at higher risk for specific H. pylori-related diseases.

Identification of inflections in T-cell counts among HIV-1-infected individuals and relationship with progression to clinical AIDS

Studies of circulating T (CD3+) lymphocytes have shown that on a population basis T-cell numbers remain stable for many years after HIV-1 infection (blind T-cell homeostasis), but decline rapidly beginning approximately 1.5–2.5 years before the onset of clinical AIDS. We derived a general method for defining the loss of homeostasis on the individual level and for determining the prevalence of homeostasis loss according to HIV status and the occurrence of AIDS in more than 5,000 men enrolled in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. We used a segmented regression model for log10 CD3+ cell counts that included separate T-cell trajectories before and after a time (the T-cell inflection point) where the loss of T-cell homeostasis was most likely to have occurred. The average slope of CD3+ lymphocyte counts before the inflection point was close to zero for HIV− and HIV+ men, consistent with blind T-cell homeostasis. After the inflection point, the HIV+ individuals who developed AIDS generally showed a dramatic decline in CD3+ cell counts relative to HIV− men and HIV+ men not developing AIDS. A CD3+ cell decline of greater than 10 percent per year was present in 77% of HIV+ men developing AIDS but in only 23% of HIV+ men with no onset of AIDS. Our findings at the individual level support the blind T-cell homeostasis hypothesis and provide strong evidence that the loss of homeostasis is an important mechanism in the pathogenesis of the severe immunodeficiency that characterizes the late stages of HIV infection.