Global warming in the twenty-first century: An alternative scenario

A common view is that the current global warming rate will continue or accelerate. But we argue that rapid warming in recent decades has been driven mainly by non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as chlorofluorocarbons, CH4, and N2O, not by the products of fossil fuel burning, CO2 and aerosols, the positive and negative climate forcings of which are partially offsetting. The growth rate of non-CO2 GHGs has declined in the past decade. If sources of CH4 and O3 precursors were reduced in the future, the change in climate forcing by non-CO2 GHGs in the next 50 years could be near zero. Combined with a reduction of black carbon emissions and plausible success in slowing CO2 emissions, this reduction of non-CO2 GHGs could lead to a decline in the rate of global warming, reducing the danger of dramatic climate change. Such a focus on air pollution has practical benefits that unite the interests of developed and developing countries. However, assessment of ongoing and future climate change requires composition-specific long-term global monitoring of aerosol properties.

Anomalies in coral reef community metabolism and their potential importance in the reef CO2 source-sink debate

It is not certain whether coral reefs are sources of or sinks for atmospheric CO2. Air–sea exchange of CO2 over reefs has been measured directly and inferred from changes in the seawater carbonate equilibrium. Such measurements have provided conflicting results. We provide community metabolic data that indicate that large changes in CO2 concentration can occur in coral reef waters via biogeochemical processes not directly associated with photosynthesis, respiration, calcification, and CaCO3 dissolution. These processes can significantly distort estimates of reef calcification and net productivity and obscure the contribution of coral reefs to global air–sea exchange of CO2. They may, nonetheless, explain apparent anomalies in the metabolic performance of reefs close to land and reconcile the differing experimental findings that have given rise to the CO2 debate.

On strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions

Equity is of fundamental concern in the quest for international cooperation to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations by the reduction of emissions. By modeling the carbon cycle, we estimate the global CO2 emissions that would be required to stabilize the atmospheric concentration of CO2 at levels ranging from 450 to 1,000 ppm. These are compared, on both an absolute and a per-capita basis, to scenarios for emissions from the developed and developing worlds generated by socio-economic models under the assumption that actions to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions are not taken. Need and equity have provided strong arguments for developing countries to request that the developed world takes the lead in controlling its emissions, while permitting the developing countries in the meantime to use primarily fossil fuels for their development. Even with major and early control of CO2 emissions by the developed world, limiting concentration to 450 ppm implies that the developing world also would need to control its emissions within decades, given that we expect developing world emissions would otherwise double over this time. Scenarios leading to CO2 concentrations of 550 ppm exhibit a reduction of the developed world's per-capita emission by about 50% over the next 50 years. Even for the higher stabilization levels considered, the developing world would not be able to use fossil fuels for their development in the manner that the developed world has used them.

cemA homologue essential to CO2 transport in the cyanobacterium Synechocystis PCC6803.

We have isolated mutants of Synechocystis PCC6803 that grew very slowly in a low-sodium medium, which is unfavorable for HCO3(-) transport, and examined two of these mutants (SC1 and SC2) for their ability to take up CO2 and HCO3(-) in the light. The CO2 transport activity of SC1 and SC2 was much lower than that of the wild type (WT), whereas there was no difference between the mutants and the WT in their activity of HCO3(-) transport. A clone containing a 3.9-kilobase-pair insert DNA that transforms both mutants to the WT phenotype was isolated from a genomic library of WT Synechocystis. Sequencing of the insert DNA in the region of mutations in SC1 and SC2 revealed an open reading frame (designated cotA), which showed significant amino-acid sequence homology to cemA encoding a protein found in the inner envelope membrane of chloroplasts. The cotA gene is present in a single copy and was not cotranscribed with any other gene(s). cotA encodes a protein of 247 amino acids containing four transmembrane domains. There was substitution of a single base in SC1 and two bases in SC2 in their cotA genes. A possible role of the cotA gene product in CO2 transport is discussed.