On the geometry of solutions of the quasi-geostrophic and Euler equations

We study solutions of the two-dimensional quasi-geostrophic thermal active scalar equation involving simple hyperbolic saddles. There is a naturally associated notion of simple hyperbolic saddle breakdown. It is proved that such breakdown cannot occur in finite time. At large time, these solutions may grow at most at a quadruple-exponential rate. Analogous results hold for the incompressible three-dimensional Euler equation.

Specific therapy regimes could lead to long-term immunological control of HIV

We use mathematical models to study the relationship between HIV and the immune system during the natural course of infection and in the context of different antiviral treatment regimes. The models suggest that an efficient cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) memory response is required to control the virus. We define CTL memory as long-term persistence of CTL precursors in the absence of antigen. Infection and depletion of CD4+ T helper cells interfere with CTL memory generation, resulting in persistent viral replication and disease progression. We find that antiviral drug therapy during primary infection can enable the development of CTL memory. In chronically infected patients, specific treatment schedules, either including deliberate drug holidays or antigenic boosts of the immune system, can lead to a re-establishment of CTL memory. Whether such treatment regimes would lead to long-term immunologic control deserves investigation under carefully controlled conditions.

Experimentally determined chaotic phase synchronization in a neuronal system

Mathematical analysis of the subthreshold oscillatory properties of inferior olivary neurons in vitro indicates that the oscillation is nonlinear and supports low dimensional chaotic dynamics. This property leads to the generation of complex functional states that can be attained rapidly via phase coherence that conform to the category of “generalized synchronization.” Functionally, this translates into neuronal ensemble properties that can support maximum functional permissiveness and that rapidly can transform into robustly determined multicellular coherence.

Effects of the Heartbeat Wales programme over five years on behavioural risks for cardiovascular disease: quasi-experimental comparison of results from Wales and a matched reference area

Objective: To assess the net 5 year effects of intervention of a community based demonstration project, the Heartbeat Wales programme, on modifiable behavioural risks for prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Dynamical hierarchy in transition states: Why and how does a system climb over the mountain?

How a reacting system climbs through a transition state during the course of a reaction has been an intriguing subject for decades. Here we present and quantify a technique to identify and characterize local invariances about the transition state of an N-particle Hamiltonian system, using Lie canonical perturbation theory combined with microcanonical molecular dynamics simulation. We show that at least three distinct energy regimes of dynamical behavior occur in the region of the transition state, distinguished by the extent of their local dynamical invariance and regularity. Isomerization of a six-atom Lennard–Jones cluster illustrates this: up to energies high enough to make the system manifestly chaotic, approximate invariants of motion associated with a reaction coordinate in phase space imply a many-body dividing hypersurface in phase space that is free of recrossings even in a sea of chaos. The method makes it possible to visualize the stable and unstable invariant manifolds leading to and from the transition state, i.e., the reaction path in phase space, and how this regularity turns to chaos with increasing total energy of the system. This, in turn, illuminates a new type of phase space bottleneck in the region of a transition state that emerges as the total energy and mode coupling increase, which keeps a reacting system increasingly trapped in that region.

Slip complexity in earthquake fault models.

We summarize studies of earthquake fault models that give rise to slip complexities like those in natural earthquakes. For models of smooth faults between elastically deformable continua, it is critical that the friction laws involve a characteristic distance for slip weakening or evolution of surface state. That results in a finite nucleation size, or coherent slip patch size, h*. Models of smooth faults, using numerical cell size properly small compared to h*, show periodic response or complex and apparently chaotic histories of large events but have not been found to show small event complexity like the self-similar (power law) Gutenberg-Richter frequency-size statistics. This conclusion is supported in the present paper by fully inertial elastodynamic modeling of earthquake sequences. In contrast, some models of locally heterogeneous faults with quasi-independent fault segments, represented approximately by simulations with cell size larger than h* so that the model becomes "inherently discrete," do show small event complexity of the Gutenberg-Richter type. Models based on classical friction laws without a weakening length scale or for which the numerical procedure imposes an abrupt strength drop at the onset of slip have h* = 0 and hence always fall into the inherently discrete class. We suggest that the small-event complexity that some such models show will not survive regularization of the constitutive description, by inclusion of an appropriate length scale leading to a finite h*, and a corresponding reduction of numerical grid size.

Optical evidence for the unification of active galactic nuclei and quasi-stellar objects.

There is a variety of optical evidence for some unification of different types of active galactic nuclei and quasi-stellar objects (QSOs). The case is very strong for the unification of at least some Seyfert galaxies, where polarization data show that the type assigned to the Seyfert galaxy must depend on viewing direction. It has been proposed that Fanaroff-Riley type 2 (FR2) radio galaxies are quasars seen in a direction from which the quasar is obscured, and there is some limited direct evidence for this picture. The broad absorption line QSOs may be normal QSOs seen from a special direction. Some of the sources observed to have high luminosities in the far infrared could be obscured QSOs and active nuclei. Mergers and interactions are likely to play an important role in nuclear activity, and active galaxies and QSOs could change their apparent types through these encounters followed by subsequent evolution.

Cortical activity flips among quasi-stationary states.

Parallel recordings of spike trains of several single cortical neurons in behaving monkeys were analyzed as a hidden Markov process. The parallel spike trains were considered as a multivariate Poisson process whose vector firing rates change with time. As a consequence of this approach, the complete recording can be segmented into a sequence of a few statistically discriminated hidden states, whose dynamics are modeled as a first-order Markov chain. The biological validity and benefits of this approach were examined in several independent ways: (i) the statistical consistency of the segmentation and its correspondence to the behavior of the animals; (ii) direct measurement of the collective flips of activity, obtained by the model; and (iii) the relation between the segmentation and the pair-wise short-term cross-correlations between the recorded spike trains. Comparison with surrogate data was also carried out for each of the above examinations to assure their significance. Our results indicated the existence of well-separated states of activity, within which the firing rates were approximately stationary. With our present data we could reliably discriminate six to eight such states. The transitions between states were fast and were associated with concomitant changes of firing rates of several neurons. Different behavioral modes and stimuli were consistently reflected by different states of neural activity. Moreover, the pair-wise correlations between neurons varied considerably between the different states, supporting the hypothesis that these distinct states were brought about by the cooperative action of many neurons.