Failure of programmed cell death and differentiation as causes of tumors: some simple mathematical models.

Most models of tumorigenesis assume that the tumor grows by increased cell division. In these models, it is generally supposed that daughter cells behave as do their parents, and cell numbers have clear potential for exponential growth. We have constructed simple mathematical models of tumorigenesis through failure of programmed cell death (PCD) or differentiation. These models do not assume that descendant cells behave as their parents do. The models predict that exponential growth in cell numbers does sometimes occur, usually when stem cells fail to die or differentiate. At other times, exponential growth does not occur: instead, the number of cells in the population reaches a new, higher equilibrium. This behavior is predicted when fully differentiated cells fail to undergo PCD. When cells of intermediate differentiation fail to die or to differentiate further, the values of growth parameters determine whether growth is exponential or leads to a new equilibrium. The predictions of the model are sensitive to small differences in growth parameters. Failure of PCD and differentiation, leading to a new equilibrium number of cells, may explain many aspects of tumor behavior--for example, early premalignant lesions such as cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, the fact that some tumors very rarely become malignant, the observation of plateaux in the growth of some solid tumors, and, finally, long lag phases of growth until mutations arise that eventually result in exponential growth.

Hepatitis C virus lacking the hypervariable region 1 of the second envelope protein is infectious and causes acute resolving or persistent infection in chimpanzees

Persistent infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is among the leading causes of chronic liver disease. Previous studies suggested that genetic variation in hypervariable region 1 (HVR1) of the second envelope protein, possibly in response to host immune pressure, influences the outcome of HCV infection. In the present study, a chimpanzee transfected intrahepatically with RNA transcripts of an infectious HCV clone (pCV-H77C) from which HVR1 was deleted became infected; the ΔHVR1 virus was subsequently transmitted to a second chimpanzee. Infection with ΔHVR1 virus resulted in persistent infection in the former chimpanzee and in acute resolving infection in the latter chimpanzee. Both chimpanzees developed hepatitis. The ΔHVR1 virus initially replicated to low titers, but virus titer increased significantly after mutations appeared in the viral genome. Thus, wild-type HCV without HVR1 was apparently attenuated, suggesting a functional role of HVR1. However, our data indicate that HVR1 is not essential for the viability of HCV, the resolution of infection, or the progression to chronicity.