Return of Equity Issues in the Spanish Stock Market from the Investor’s Perspective, during the 1997-2012 Period

Is it profitable for an investor, from a risk-return perspective, to acquire a stake in a quoted company when a capital increase is announced? This paper analyses the return obtained from the investment in equity issues with cash contribution and pre-emptive rights, aimed at funding corporate activities: acquisitions, investments in new facilities and/or strengthening the balance sheet of the companies undertaking the equity issue. During the 16 years covered by the study, the results show a negative average excess risk-adjusted return of almost 5%, from the moment that the equity offer is announced until the completion of the preferential subscription period. To obtain this excess return, the difference between the nominal Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and the expected return, using the CAPM, is computed for each equity issue. The intention behind this method is to eliminate the effects of time and any other possible effect on the stock price during the period of the analysis.The results from this article are consistent with the Pecking Order theory for the Spanish Stock Market also six months after the preferential subscription period. However, there is a positive return after three months.

Efficiency and spatial equity impacts of high-speed rail extensions in urban areas

Urban areas benefit from significant improvements in accessibility when a new high speed rail (HSR) project is built. These improvements, which are due mainly to a rise in efficiency, produce locational advantagesand increase the attractiveness of these cities, thereby possibly enhancing their competitivenessand economic growth. However, there may be equity issues at stake, as the main accessibility benefits are primarily concentrated in urban areas with a HSR station, whereas other locations obtain only limited benefits. HSR extensions may contribute to an increase in spatial imbalance and lead to more polarized patterns of spatial development. Procedures for assessing the spatial impacts of HSR must therefore follow a twofold approach which addresses issues of both efficiency and equity. This analysis can be made by jointly assessing both the magnitude and distribution of the accessibility improvements deriving from a HSR project. This paper describes an assessment methodology for HSR projects which follows this twofold approach. The procedure uses spatial impact analysis techniques and is based on the computation of accessibility indicators, supported by a Geographical Information System (GIS). Efficiency impacts are assessed in terms of the improvements in accessibility resulting from the HSR project, with a focus on major urban areas; and spatial equity implications are derived from changes in the distribution of accessibility values among these urban agglomerations.

Efectividad de las señales de compromiso de suscripción ante el anuncio de ampliaciones de capital en España

El objetivo de esta tesis doctoral es averiguar si el anuncio por parte del accionista significativo de ejercitar su derecho de suscripción preferente elimina o reduce la asimetría de información en las ampliaciones de capital con derecho de suscripción preferente en el Mercado de Valores español. Durante los 17 años analizados, encontramos que ni el anuncio de la ampliación de capital ni el tipo de aseguramiento acordado en cada ampliación tienen un impacto estadísticamente significativo en el Exceso de Rentabilidad Ajustada por Riesgo. Principalmente, el análisis realizado utiliza la información requerida por la Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores (CNMV) que deben aportar los accionistas significativos en el Folleto de emisión publicado con carácter previo a la ampliación. Esta investigación desglosa las ofertas en un Grupo 1, el cual incluye aquéllas en las que los accionistas significativos anuncian su intención de ejercitar su derecho en las emisiones, y el Grupo 2, que incluye aquéllas en donde no acuden o simplemente no existía información al respecto ya que no es una información obligatoria a incluir en el Folleto. Para cada ampliación de capital y para tres periodos de tiempo distintos se obtiene el Exceso de Rentabilidad Ajustada por Riesgo (ERAR) como la diferencia entre la Tasa Interna de Retorno y el Retorno Esperado, utilizando el modelo CAPM. De este modo, se trata de aislar el efecto temporal. La principal contribución de esta tesis doctoral es el hallazgo de una rentabilidad negativa estadísticamente significativa cuando el accionista significativo anuncia su intención de no suscribir la ampliación, o no existe información suficiente sobre su intención a este respecto. Adicionalmente, el análisis que se ha llevado a cabo en este estudio muestra un refuerzo estadísticamente significativo de este efecto negativo en la rentabilidad cuando existe simultáneamente una falta de compromiso por parte del accionista significativo y la ampliación no está asegurada. ABSTRACT The aim of this doctoral dissertation is to find out whether or not consideration of significant shareholders announcement of intention to exercise subscription rights makes a difference in eliminating or reducing the effects of asymmetrical information in equity offerings with pre-emptive rights on the Spanish Stock Market. For the 17 years of equity issues covered, we find that neither equity issue announcements nor the type of underwriting arrangements has a statistically significant impact on the issues’ Excess Risk Adjusted Return. The analysis uses the information required by CNMV (Spanish equivalent to SEC) to be provided by the significant shareholders in the equity issue’s prospectus. The doctoral dissertation breaks the offerings down into Group 1, in which the significant shareholders indicated their intention to subscribe, and Group 2, for which there was not enough information provided as to their intentions. For each equity issue, Excess Risk Adjusted Return (ERAR) is obtained, for three different periods, as is the difference between nominal Internal Rate of Return and expected return, using the CAPM. By subtracting the expected return from the IRR, the effect of time or any other variable influencing the stock price during the period, aside from the equity issue, should, in principle, be removed. The main contribution of this study is the finding of a statistically significant negative impact on returns either when the significant shareholders indicate their intention not to subscribe, or when not enough information is provided about their intention. We also find a statistically significant reinforcing negative effect on returns in the case of simultaneous lack of commitment on the part of significant shareholders, and non-underwritten equity issues.

A characterisation of passive and active interactions and their influence on student's achievement using Moodle LMS Logs

During the last years, there has been much concern about learning management systems' (LMS) effectiveness when compared to traditional learning and about how to assess students' participation during the course. The tracking and monitoring capabilities of most recent LMS have made it possible to analyse every interaction in the system. The issues addressed on this study are: a) Is LMS student's interaction an indicator of academic performance?; b) Are different results in performance expected between distance and in-class LMS-supported education?; c) How can LMS interactions from logs be categorised?; d) May this categorisation detect 'learning witnesses'? To answer these questions, a set of interaction types from Moodle LMS activity record logs has been analysed during two years in online and in-class Master's degrees at the UPM. The results show partial or no evidence of influence between interaction indicators and academic performance, although the proposed categorisation may help detect learning witnesses.

La Institución Libre de Enseñanza y la arquitectura española de la Edad de Plata (1876-1936)

La tesis doctoral «La Institución Libre de Enseñanza y la arquitectura española de la Edad de Plata (1876-1936)» analiza las relaciones propiciadas por la ILE y la corriente cultural del institucionismo ―identificada desde los primeros años 70 del pasado siglo por el historiador Manuel Tuñón de Lara como crucial en la configuración de la cultura española contemporánea―, con la arquitectura de su tiempo en el marco histórico de la Restauración alfonsina y de la Segunda República. Lo hace desde los cuatro temas que configuran los grandes apartados en los que se estructura y articula el trabajo de investigación. El primero, el de la arquitectura de la escuela, a través del análisis de los escritos sobre la materia de los pedagogos Francisco Giner de los Ríos y Manuel Bartolomé Cossío y su papel en la materialización del edificio escolar. El segundo, el de la geografía madrileña de la ILE a través de un recorrido por las arquitecturas que acogieron su proyecto modernizador, confiado a la moral de la ciencia, a través de los centro por ella impulsados desde la Junta para Ampliación de Estudios e Investigaciones Científicas (JAE), como fueron la Residencia de Estudiantes y su grupo femenino de la Residencia de Señoritas, el Instituto Nacional de Física y Química, el Instituto-Escuela, el Centro de Estudios Históricos o el Instituto Cajal. El tercero, la renovación de la cultura arquitectónica española promovida a través de la política de pensiones de la JAE en el extranjero, de las actividades de extensión universitaria desarrolladas por la Residencia de Estudiantes en el ámbito de la arquitectura o por personas identificadas con su ideario. Y el cuarto, a través de la nueva valoración patrimonial de los monumentos arquitectónicos y de los paisajes españoles alentada por la práctica pedagógica del excursionismo y por los escritos de Francisco Giner de los Ríos y Manuel Bartolomé Cossío, que culmina con la promulgación de la Ley del Tesoro Artístico Nacional de 1933. El trabajo plantea una historia coral, donde tienen cabida arquitectos, pedagogos, políticos, historiadores del arte, críticos de arte y arquitectura de cuatro generaciones distintas: desde Ricardo Velázquez Bosco, coetáneo de Francisco Giner de los Ríos, a Arturo Sáenz de la Calzada, colegial de la Residencia de Estudiantes durante los años treinta y activo miembro de la Federación Universitaria Escolar, pasando por Carlos Velasco, Antonio Flórez Urdapilleta, Pablo Gutiérrez Moreno, Bernardo Giner de los Ríos, Leopoldo Torres Balbás, Carlos Arniches Moltó, Martín Domínguez Esteban, Fernando García Mercadal o Matilde Ucelay, en el caso de los arquitectos; Francisco Giner de los Ríos, Manuel Bartolomé Cossío, José Castillejo o Alberto Jiménez Fraud, entre los pedagogos; Segismundo Moret, Álvaro de Figueroa, Fernando de los Ríos o Marcelino Domingo, entre los políticos; Manuel Gómez-Moreno, Ricardo de Orueta o Emilio Camps Cazorla, entre los historiadores del arte; Javier de Winthuysen como jardinero o José Moreno Villa a través de su papel como crítico de arquitectura a favor del arte nuevo. Para ello, se ha partido del análisis y la interpretación de las arquitecturas de matriz institucionista a través de fuentes muy diversas, entre ellas un nutrido corpus de imágenes como complemento iconográfico fundamental en la articulación del discurso narrativo, que ha permitido situar a los temas analizados y sus protagonistas en su contexto histórico y disciplinar. Todo ello ha puesto de manifiesto el papel asumido por la Institución Libre de Enseñanza como un laboratorio de ideas y proyectos clave en la configuración de la cultura arquitectónica española del primer tercio del siglo XX. ABSTRACT The doctoral thesis «La Institución Libre de Enseñanza y la arquitectura española de la Edad de Plata (1876-1936)» analyzes the relationships fostered by the ILE and the cultural current «institucionismo» ―identified from the early '70s by the historian Manuel Tuñón de Lara as cardinal in shaping the contemporánea Spanish culture―, with the architecture of his time in the historical context of the Restoration and the Second Republic periods. This is done from the four themes that make up the major sections in which the research is structured and articulated. The first, the architecture of the school building, through the analysis of the writings on the subject of pedagogues Francisco Giner and Manuel Bartolomé Cossío and its role in the materialization of the school building. The second, the geography of the ILE in Madrid through a tour of the architectures that supported its modernizing project, entrusted to the moral of science, through the centers promoted by the Junta para Ampliación de Estudios e Investigaciones Científicas (JAE), as the Residencia de Estudiantes and its girls group Residencia de Señoritas, Instituto Nacional de Física y Química, Instituto-Escuela, Centro de Estudios Históricos or Instituto Cajal. The third, the renewal of the Spanish architectural culture promoted through JAE pension abroad, the university extension activities developed by the Residencia de Estudiantes in the field of architecture or people identified with its ideology. And the fourth, through new equity valuation of architectural monuments and the Spanish landscapes encouraged by the pedagogical practice of excursionism and by the writings of Francisco Giner de los Ríos and Manuel Bartolomé Cossío, culminating in the enactment of the Ley del Tesoro Artístico Nacional in 1933. The work raises a choral history, where have place architects, educators, politicians, art historians, art and architecture critics of four distinct generations: from Ricardo Velázquez Bosco, a contemporary of Francisco Giner, Arturo Sáenz de la Calzada, schoolboy student residence during the thirties and active member of the Federación Universitaria Escolar, through Carlos Velasco, Antonio Flórez Urdapilleta, Pablo Gutiérrez Moreno, Bernardo Giner, Leopoldo Torres Balbás, Carlos Arniches Moltó, Martín Domínguez Esteban, Fernando García Mercadal or Matilde Ucelay, in the case of architects; Francisco Giner, Manuel Bartolomé Cossío, José Castillejo and Alberto Jiménez Fraud, among teachers; Segismundo Moret, Álvaro de Figueroa, Fernando de los Ríos and Marcelino Domingo, among politicians; Manuel Gómez-Moreno, Ricardo de Orueta or Emilio Camps Cazorla, including art historians; Javier de Winthuysen as gardener and José Moreno Villa through his role as architecture critic for the new art. To do this, the origin point has been the analysis and interpretation of the «institucionista» architectures through a variety of sources, including a large corpus of iconographic images as a fundamental complement to the articulation of the narrative, which has allowed place the issues discussed and its protagonists in their historical context and discipline. This has highlighted the role played by the Institución Libre de Enseñanza as a laboratory of ideas and projects and key in shaping the Spanish architectural culture of the early twentieth century.