9 resultados para ecological box-model
em Universidad Politécnica de Madrid
Resumo:
This paper presents an experimental and systematic investigation about how geometric parameters on a biplane configuration have an influence on aerodynamic parameters. This experimental investigation has been developed in a two-dimensional approach. Theoretical studies about biplanes configurations have been developed in the past, but there is not enough information about experimental wind tunnel data at low Reynolds number. This two-dimensional study is a first step to further tridimensional investigations about the box wing configuration. The main objective of the study is to find the relationships between the geometrical parameters which present the best aerodynamic behavior: the highest lift, the lowest drag and the lowest slope of the pitching moment. A tridimensional wing-box model will be designed following the pattern of the two dimensional study conclusions. It will respond to the geometrical relationships that have been considered to show the better aerodynamic behavior. This box-wing model will be studied in the aim of comparing the advantages and disadvantages between this biplane configuration and the plane configuration, looking for implementing the box-wing in the UAV?s field. Although the box wing configuration has been used in a small number of existing UAV, prestigious researchers have found it as a field of high aerodynamic and structural potential.
Resumo:
Las prestaciones y características de los dispositivos móviles actuales los sitúa a un nivel similar a los ordenadores de escritorio tradicionales en cuanto a funcionalidad y posibilidades de uso, añadiendo además la movilidad y la sensación de pertenencia al usuario que se deriva de ésta. Estas cualidades convierten a las plataformas móviles de computación en verdaderos ordenadores personales, y cada día es más popular su utilización en ámbitos distintos del ocio y las comunicaciones propiamente dichas, pasando a convertirse en herramientas de apoyo a la productividad también en el entorno profesional y corporativo. La utilización del dispositivo móvil como parte de una infraestructura de telecomunicaciones da lugar a nuevas expresiones de problemas clásicos de gestión y seguridad. Para tratar de abordarlos con la flexibilidad y la escalabilidad necesarias se plantean alternativas novedosas que parten de enfoques originales a estos problemas, como las ideas y conceptos que se engloban en la filosofía del Control de Acceso a la Red (Network Access Control, o NAC). La mayoría de los planteamientos de NAC se basan, en el ámbito de la seguridad, en comprobar ciertas características del dispositivo móvil para tratar de determinar hasta qué punto puede éste suponer una amenaza para los recursos de la red u otros usuarios de la misma. Obtener esta información de forma fiable resulta extremadamente difícil si se caracteriza el dispositivo mediante un modelo de caja blanca, muy adecuado dada la apertura propia de los sistemas operativos móviles actuales, muy diferentes de los de antaño, y la ausencia de un marco de seguridad efectivo en ellos. Este trabajo explora el Estado de la Técnica en este ámbito de investigación y plantea diferentes propuestas orientadas a cubrir las deficiencias de las soluciones propuestas hasta el momento y a satisfacer los estrictos requisitos de seguridad que se derivan de la aplicación del modelo de caja blanca, materializándose en última instancia en la definición de un mecanismo de evaluación de características arbitrarias de un cierto dispositivo móvil basado en Entornos Seguros de Ejecución (Trusted Execution Environments, o TEEs) con elevadas garantías de seguridad compatible con los planteamientos actuales de NAC. ABSTRACT The performance and features of today’s mobile devices make them able to compete with traditional desktop computers in terms of functionality and possible usages. In addition to this, they sport mobility and the stronger sense of ownership that derives from it. These attributes change mobile computation platforms into truly personal computers, allowing them to be used not only for leisure or as mere communications devices, but also as supports of productivity in professional and corporative environments. The utilization of mobile devices as part of a telecommunications infrastructure brings new expressions of classic management and security problems with it. In order to tackle them with appropriate flexibility and scalability, new alternatives are proposed based on original approaches to these problems, such as the concepts and ideas behind the philosophy of Network Access Control (NAC). The vast majority of NAC proposals are based, security-wise, on checking certain mobile device’s properties in order to evaluate how probable it is for it to become a threat for network resources or even other users of the infrastructure. Obtaining this information in a reliable and trustworthy way is extremely difficult if the device is characterized using a white-box model, which is the most appropriate if the openness of today’s mobile operating systems, very different from former ones, and the absence of an effective security framework are taken into account. This work explores the State of the Art related with the aforementioned field of research and presents different proposals targeted to overcome the deficiencies of current solutions and satisfy the strict security requirements derived from the application of the white box model. These proposals are ultimately materialized in the definition of a high-security evaluation procedure of arbitrary properties of a given mobile device based on Trusted Execution Environments (TEEs) which is compatible with modern NAC approaches.
Resumo:
The presented work proposes a new approach for anomaly detection. This approach is based on changes in a population of evolving agents under stress. If conditions are appropriate, changes in the population (modeled by the bioindicators) are representative of the alterations to the environment. This approach, based on an ecological view, improves functionally traditional approaches to the detection of anomalies. To verify this assertion, experiments based on Network Intrussion Detection Systems are presented. The results are compared with the behaviour of other bioinspired approaches and machine learning techniques.
Resumo:
Species selection for forest restoration is often supported by expert knowledge on local distribution patterns of native tree species. This approach is not applicable to largely deforested regions unless enough data on pre-human tree species distribution is available. In such regions, ecological niche models may provide essential information to support species selection in the framework of forest restoration planning. In this study we used ecological niche models to predict habitat suitability for native tree species in "Tierra de Campos" region, an almost totally deforested area of the Duero Basin (Spain). Previously available models provide habitat suitability predictions for dominant native tree species, but including non-dominant tree species in the forest restoration planning may be desirable to promote biodiversity, specially in largely deforested areas were near seed sources are not expected. We used the Forest Map of Spain as species occurrence data source to maximize the number of modeled tree species. Penalized logistic regression was used to train models using climate and lithological predictors. Using model predictions a set of tools were developed to support species selection in forest restoration planning. Model predictions were used to build ordered lists of suitable species for each cell of the study area. The suitable species lists were summarized drawing maps that showed the two most suitable species for each cell. Additionally, potential distribution maps of the suitable species for the study area were drawn. For a scenario with two dominant species, the models predicted a mixed forest (Quercus ilex and a coniferous tree species) for almost one half of the study area. According to the models, 22 non-dominant native tree species are suitable for the study area, with up to six suitable species per cell. The model predictions pointed to Crataegus monogyna, Juniperus communis, J.oxycedrus and J.phoenicea as the most suitable non-dominant native tree species in the study area. Our results encourage further use of ecological niche models for forest restoration planning in largely deforested regions.
Resumo:
Natural regeneration is an ecological key-process that makes plant persistence possible and, consequently, it constitutes an essential element of sustainable forest management. In this respect, natural regeneration in even-aged stands of Pinus pinea L. located in the Spanish Northern Plateau has not always been successfully achieved despite over a century of pine nut-based management. As a result, natural regeneration has recently become a major concern for forest managers when we are living a moment of rationalization of investment in silviculture. The present dissertation is addressed to provide answers to forest managers on this topic through the development of an integral regeneration multistage model for P. pinea stands in the region. From this model, recommendations for natural regeneration-based silviculture can be derived under present and future climate scenarios. Also, the model structure makes it possible to detect the likely bottlenecks affecting the process. The integral model consists of five submodels corresponding to each of the subprocesses linking the stages involved in natural regeneration (seed production, seed dispersal, seed germination, seed predation and seedling survival). The outputs of the submodels represent the transitional probabilities between these stages as a function of climatic and stand variables, which in turn are representative of the ecological factors driving regeneration. At subprocess level, the findings of this dissertation should be interpreted as follows. The scheduling of the shelterwood system currently conducted over low density stands leads to situations of dispersal limitation since the initial stages of the regeneration period. Concerning predation, predator activity appears to be only limited by the occurrence of severe summer droughts and masting events, the summer resulting in a favourable period for seed survival. Out of this time interval, predators were found to almost totally deplete seed crops. Given that P. pinea dissemination occurs in summer (i.e. the safe period against predation), the likelihood of a seed to not be destroyed is conditional to germination occurrence prior to the intensification of predator activity. However, the optimal conditions for germination seldom take place, restraining emergence to few days during the fall. Thus, the window to reach the seedling stage is narrow. In addition, the seedling survival submodel predicts extremely high seedling mortality rates and therefore only some individuals from large cohorts will be able to persist. These facts, along with the strong climate-mediated masting habit exhibited by P. pinea, reveal that viii the overall probability of establishment is low. Given this background, current management –low final stand densities resulting from intense thinning and strict felling schedules– conditions the occurrence of enough favourable events to achieve natural regeneration during the current rotation time. Stochastic simulation and optimisation computed through the integral model confirm this circumstance, suggesting that more flexible and progressive regeneration fellings should be conducted. From an ecological standpoint, these results inform a reproductive strategy leading to uneven-aged stand structures, in full accordance with the medium shade-tolerant behaviour of the species. As a final remark, stochastic simulations performed under a climate-change scenario show that regeneration in the species will not be strongly hampered in the future. This resilient behaviour highlights the fundamental ecological role played by P. pinea in demanding areas where other tree species fail to persist.
Resumo:
Natural regeneration in Pinus pinea stands commonly fails throughout the Spanish Northern Plateau under current intensive regeneration treatments. As a result, extensive direct seeding is commonly conducted to guarantee regeneration occurrence. In a period of rationalization of the resources devoted to forest management, this kind of techniques may become unaffordable. Given that the climatic and stand factors driving germination remain unknown, tools are required to understand the process and temper the use of direct seeding. In this study, the spatio-temporal pattern of germination of P. pinea was modelled with those purposes. The resulting findings will allow us to (1) determine the main ecological variables involved in germination in the species and (2) infer adequate silvicultural alternatives. The modelling approach focuses on covariates which are readily available to forest managers. A two-step nonlinear mixed model was fitted to predict germination occurrence and abundance in P. pinea under varying climatic, environmental and stand conditions, based on a germination data set covering a 5-year period. The results obtained reveal that the process is primarily driven by climate variables. Favourable conditions for germination commonly occur in fall although the optimum window is often narrow and may not occur at all in some years. At spatial level, it would appear that germination is facilitated by high stand densities, suggesting that current felling intensity should be reduced. In accordance with other studies on P. pinea dispersal, it seems that denser stands during the regeneration period will reduce the present dependence on direct seeding.
Resumo:
A study on a water- ow window installed in a test box is presented. This window is composed of two glass panes separated by a chamber through water ows. The ow of water comes from an isolated tank which contains heat water. In order to fully evaluate the water- ow window performance for different room and window sizes, locations and weather conditions, a mathematical model of the whole box is needed. The proposed model, in which conduction heat transfer mechanism is the only considered, is one dimensional and unsteady based upon test box energy balance. The effect of the heat water tank, which feeds the water- ow window, is included in the model by means of a time delay in the source term. Although some previous work about moving uid chamber has been developed, air was used as heat transfer uid and no uid storage was considered. Finally a comparison between the numerical solution and the obtained experimental data is done.
Resumo:
Road accidents are a very relevant issue in many countries and macroeconomic models are very frequently applied by academia and administrations to reduce their frequency and consequences. The selection of explanatory variables and response transformation parameter within the Bayesian framework for the selection of the set of explanatory variables a TIM and 3IM (two input and three input models) procedures are proposed. The procedure also uses the DIC and pseudo -R2 goodness of fit criteria. The model to which the methodology is applied is a dynamic regression model with Box-Cox transformation (BCT) for the explanatory variables and autorgressive (AR) structure for the response. The initial set of 22 explanatory variables are identified. The effects of these factors on the fatal accident frequency in Spain, during 2000-2012, are estimated. The dependent variable is constructed considering the stochastic trend component.
Resumo:
In this study we are proposing a Bayesian model selection methodology, where the best model from the list of candidate structural explanatory models is selected. The model structure is based on the Zellner's (1971)explanatory model with autoregressive errors. For the selection technique we are using a parsimonious model, where the model variables are transformed using Box and Cox (1964) class of transformations.