Hybrid choice model for propensity to travel and tour complexity

During the last years cities around the world have invested important quantities of money in measures for reducing congestion and car-trips. Investments which are nothing but potential solutions for the well-known urban sprawl phenomenon, also called the “development trap” that leads to further congestion and a higher proportion of our time spent in slow moving cars. Over the path of this searching for solutions, the complex relationship between urban environment and travel behaviour has been studied in a number of cases. The main question on discussion is, how to encourage multi-stop tours? Thus, the objective of this paper is to verify whether unobserved factors influence tour complexity. For this purpose, we use a data-base from a survey conducted in 2006-2007 in Madrid, a suitable case study for analyzing urban sprawl due to new urban developments and substantial changes in mobility patterns in the last years. A total of 943 individuals were interviewed from 3 selected neighbourhoods (CBD, urban and suburban). We study the effect of unobserved factors on trip frequency. This paper present the estimation of an hybrid model where the latent variable is called propensity to travel and the discrete choice model is composed by 5 alternatives of tour type. The results show that characteristics of the neighbourhoods in Madrid are important to explain trip frequency. The influence of land use variables on trip generation is clear and in particular the presence of commercial retails. Through estimation of elasticities and forecasting we determine to what extent land-use policy measures modify travel demand. Comparing aggregate elasticities with percentage variations, it can be seen that percentage variations could lead to inconsistent results. The result shows that hybrid models better explain travel behavior than traditional discrete choice models.

Desarrollo de un sistema automático de detección de disgrafías en niños de 4 a 5 años

La escritura es una actividad psicomotora muy importante en el desarrollo infantil. Tanto es así que su correcto aprendizaje condicionará el futuro de una persona, pues estará presente en todo tipo de situaciones cotidianas. La disgrafía es el término utilizado para referirse a los problemas relacionados con la escritura, y se manifiesta cuando la escritura de un determinado sujeto es ilegible o lenta como resultado de un aprendizaje fallido de los procesos motores de la escritura. Estos problemas intentan resolverse durante el desarrollo infantil mediante diferentes pruebas que miden las capacidades visomotoras de los niños basándose en criterios de forma (número y posición correcta de trazos). Sin embargo, a lo largo de los años estos criterios han demostrado no ser totalmente precisos en la detección prematura de posibles casos de disgrafía. Por ello, en este proyecto se ha desarrollado una aplicación que ayuda a ampliar la fiabilidad de los test actuales, utilizando un criterio cinemático. Esta aplicación, desarrollada para una tableta Android, muestra al niño una serie de figuras que él debe copiar en la tableta haciendo uso de un lápiz óptico. Los trazos registrados por la aplicación son analizados para valorar aspectos como la fluidez, continuidad y regularidad, ampliando así la fiabilidad de los test actuales, lo que permite desechar falsos positivos y detectar irregularidades que antes no podían ser detectadas. La aplicación desarrollada ha sido validada con un total de ocho niños de cuatro años y siete meses de media de edad, confirmando que cumple con las expectativas planteadas. ABSTRACT. Writing is a very important psychomotor activity in child development because it will be present in all kinds of everyday situations; therefore its proper learning will determine the future of the individual. Dysgraphia is the term used to refer to the problems related to writing, and it takes place when a particular person’s writing is unreadable or slow-moving as a result of a failed learning of writing motor processes. These problems are usually detected by different tests that measure children’s visual motor abilities based on shape criteria (correct number and position of strikes). However, over the years these criteria haven’t proved to be completely accurate in the early detection of possible cases of dysgraphia. Therefore, in this project is presented an application that extends the reliability of current test, using a kinematic approach. This application, developed for an Android tablet, displays a series of figures that the child must copy to the tablet by using a stylus. Strokes recorded by the application are then analyzed to assess aspects such as fluidity, continuity and regularity, expanding the reliability of the current test, discarding false positives created by the conventional criteria and detecting irregularities that previously could not be detected. The developed application has been validated with a total of eight children about four years and seven months in average age, confirming that the application fulfills the initial expectations.

On a two species chemotaxis model with slow chemical diffucion.

In this paper we consider a system of three parabolic equations modeling the behavior of two biological species moving attracted by a chemical factor. The chemical substance verifies a parabolic equation with slow diffusion. The system contains second order terms in the first two equations modeling the chemotactic effects. We apply an iterative method to obtain the global existence of solutions using that the total mass of the biological species is conserved. The stability of the homogeneous steady states is studied by using an energy method. A final example is presented to illustrate the theoretical results.