Sensitivity of a distributed temperature-radiation index melt model based on AWS observations and surface energy balance fluxes, Hurd Peninsula glaciers, Livingston Island, Antarctica

We use an automatic weather station and surface mass balance dataset spanning four melt seasons collected on Hurd Peninsula Glaciers, South Shetland Islands, to investigate the point surface energy balance, to determine the absolute and relative contribution of the various energy fluxes acting on the glacier surface and to estimate the sensitivity of melt to ambient temperature changes. Long-wave incoming radiation is the main energy source for melt, while short-wave radiation is the most important flux controlling the variation of both seasonal and daily mean surface energy balance. Short-wave and long-wave radiation fluxes do, in general, balance each other, resulting in a high correspondence between daily mean net radiation flux and available melt energy flux. We calibrate a distributed melt model driven by air temperature and an expression for the incoming short-wave radiation. The model is calibrated with the data from one of the melt seasons and validated with the data of the three remaining seasons. The model results deviate at most 140 mm w.e. from the corresponding observations using the glaciological method. The model is very sensitive to changes in ambient temperature: a 0.5 ◦ C increase results in 56 % higher melt rates.

Caracterización dinámica del glaciar Hurd combinando observaciones de campo y simulaciones numéricas

El objetivo fundamental de esta tesis es la caracterización de la morfología y del estado de deformaciones y tensiones del Glaciar Hurd (Isla Livingston, Archipiélago de las Shetland del Sur, Antártida), mediante una combinación de observaciones de campo, registros de georradar y simulaciones numéricas. La morfología y el estado de deformaciones y tensiones actuales son la expresión de la evolución dinámica del glaciar desde tiempos pretéritos hasta recientes, y su análisis nos dará las pautas con las cuales ser capaces de predecir, con el apoyo de las simulaciones numéricas, su evolución futura. El primer aspecto que se aborda es el estudio de las estructuras que pueden observarse en la superficie del glaciar. Describimos las distintas técnicas utilizadas (medidas de campo, fotointerpretación de ortofotografías, análisis geoquímico de cenizas volcánicas, etc.) y presentamos el análisis e interpretación de los resultados morfo-estructurales, así como la correlación, mediante análisis geoquímicos (fluorescencia de rayos X), entre las cenizas volcánicas que extruyen en la superficie del Glaciar Hurd y las del volcán Decepción, origen de las cenizas. Esto nos permite realizar una datación de las mismas como Tefra 1, correspondiente a la erupción de 1970, Tefra 2, correspondiente a las erupciones pre-1829, y el conjunto Tefra 3, asociado a las erupciones más antiguas. En segundo lugar nos ocupamos de las estructuras presentes en el interior del glaciar, cuya herramienta de detección fundamental es el georradar. Identificadas estas estructuras internas, las vinculamos con las observadas en la superficie del glaciar. También hemos estudiado la estructura hidrotérmica del glaciar, obteniendo una serie de evidencias adicionales de su carácter politérmico. Entre éstas se contaban, hasta ahora, las basadas en el valor del parámetro de rigidez de la relación constitutiva del hielo determinada por ajuste de modelos dinámicos y observaciones realizados por Otero (2008) y las basadas en las velocidades de las ondas de radar en el hielo determinadas con el método de punto medio común por Navarro y otros (2009). Las evidencias adicionales que aportamos en esta tesis son: 1) la presencia de estructuras típicas de régimen compresivo en la zona terminal del glaciar y de cizalla en los márgenes del mismo, y 2) la presencia de un estrato superficial de hielo frío (por encima de otro templado) en la zona de ablación de los tres lóbulos del Glaciar Hurd –Sally Rocks, Argentina y Las Palmas–, que alcanzan espesores de 70, 50 y 40 m, respectivamente. Este estrato de hielo frío está probablemente congelado al lecho subglaciar en la zona terminal (Molina y otros, 2007; esta tesis). Por último, nos ocupamos de la simulación numérica de la dinámica glaciar. Presentamos el modelo físico-matemático utilizado, discutimos sus condiciones de contorno y cómo éstas se miden en los trabajos de campo, y describimos el procedimiento de resolución numérica del sistema de ecuaciones parciales del modelo. Presentamos los resultados para los campos de velocidades, deformaciones y tensiones, comparando estos resultados con las estructuras observadas. También incluimos el análisis de las elipses de deformación acumulativa, que proporcionan información sobre las estructuras a las que puede dar lugar la evolución del estado de deformaciones y tensiones a las que se ve sometido el hielo según avanza, lentamente, desde la cabecera hasta la zona terminal del glaciar, con tiempos de tránsito de hasta 1.250 años, recogiendo así la historia de deformaciones en el glaciar. Concluyendo, ponemos de manifiesto en esta tesis que las medidas de campo de las estructuras y niveles de cenizas, las medidas de georradar y las simulaciones numéricas de la dinámica glaciar, realizadas de forma combinada, permiten caracterizar el régimen actual de velocidades, deformaciones y tensiones del glaciar, entender su evolución en el pasado y predecir su evolución futura. ABSTRACT The main objective of this thesis is to characterize the morphology and the state of strains and stresses of Hurd Glacier (Livingston Island, South Shetland Islands archipelago, Antarctica) through a combination of field observations, ground-penetrating radar measurements and numerical simulations. The morphology and the current state of strain and stresses are the expression of the dynamic evolution of the glacier from the past to recent times, and their analysis gives us the guidelines to be able to predict, with the support of numerical simulations, its future evolution. The first subject addressed is the study of structures that can be observed on the glacier surface. We describe the different techniques used (field measurements, photointerpretation of orthophotos, geochemical analysis of volcanic ashes, etc.) and we present the analysis and interpretation of the morpho-structural results, as well as the correlation with geochemical analysis (XRF) between the volcanic ashes extruded to the surface of Hurd Glacier and those of Deception Island volcano, from which the ashes originate. This allows us dating the ashes as Tephra 1, corresponding to the 1970 eruption, Tephra 2, corresponding to the pre-1829 eruptions, and the Tephra 3 group, associated with older eruptions. Secondly we focus on the study of the structures present within the glacier, which are detected with the help of ground-penetrating radar. Once identified, we link these internal structures with those observed on the glacier surface. We also study the hydrothermal structure of the glacier, getting a series of additional evidences of its polythermal structure. Among the evidences available so far, we can mention those based on the value of the stiffness parameter of the constitutive relation of ice, determined by fitting dynamic models to observations, as done by Otero (2008), and those based on the velocity of propagation of the radar waves through the glacier ice, measured using the common midpoint method, as done by Navarro et al. (2009). The additional evidences that we provide in this thesis are: 1) the presence of structures typical of compressive regime in the terminal zone of the glacier, together with shear at its margins, and 2) the presence of a surface layer of cold ice (overlying a layer of temperate ice) in the ablation zone of the three lobes of Hurd Glacier –Sally Rocks, Argentina and Las Palmas–, reaching thicknesses of 70, 50 and 40 m, respectively. This cold layer is probably frozen to the subglacial bed in the terminal zone (Molina and others 2007; this thesis). Finally, we deal with the numerical simulation of glacier dynamics. We present the physical-mathematical model, discuss its boundary conditions and how they are measured in the field work, and describe the method of numerical solution of the model’s partial differential equations. We present the results for the velocity, strain and stress fields, comparing these results with the observed structures. We also include an analysis of the ellipses of cumulative deformation, which provide information about the structures that can result from the evolution of the strain and stress regime of the glacier ice as it moves slowly from the head to the snout of the glacier, with transit times of up to 1,250 years, so picking the history of deformation of the glacier. Summarizing, we show in this thesis that field measurements of structures and ash layers, ground-penetrating radar measurements and numerical simulations of glacier dynamics, performed in combination, allow us to characterize the current regime of velocities, strains and stresses of the glacier, to understand its past evolution and to predict its future evolution.

Surface velocity and mass balance of Livingston Island ice cap, Antarctica

The mass budget of the ice caps surrounding the Antarctica Peninsula and, in particular, the partitioning of its main components are poorly known. Here we approximate frontal ablation (i.e. the sum of mass losses by calving and submarine melt) and surface mass balance of the ice cap of Livingston Island, the second largest island in the South Shetland Islands archipelago, and analyse variations in surface velocity for the period 2007–2011. Velocities are obtained from feature tracking using 25 PALSAR-1 images, and used in conjunction with estimates of glacier ice thicknesses inferred from principles of glacier dynamics and ground-penetrating radar observations to estimate frontal ablation rates by a flux-gate approach. Glacier-wide surface mass-balance rates are approximated from in situ observations on two glaciers of the ice cap. Within the limitations of the large uncertainties mostly due to unknown ice thicknesses at the flux gates, we find that frontal ablation (−509 ± 263 Mt yr−1, equivalent to −0.73 ± 0.38 m w.e. yr−1 over the ice cap area of 697 km2) and surface ablation (−0.73 ± 0.10 m w.e. yr−1) contribute similar shares to total ablation (−1.46 ± 0.39 m w.e. yr−1). Total mass change (δM = −0.67 ± 0.40 m w.e. yr−1) is negative despite a slightly positive surface mass balance (0.06 ± 0.14 m w.e. yr−1). We find large interannual and, for some basins, pronounced seasonal variations in surface velocities at the flux gates, with higher velocities in summer than in winter. Associated variations in frontal ablation (of ~237 Mt yr−1; −0.34 m w.e. yr−1) highlight the importance of taking into account the seasonality in ice velocities when computing frontal ablation with a flux-gate approach.

Extralimital Senegalese species during Marine Isotope Stages 5.5 and 11 in the Canary Islands (29° N): Sea surface temperature estimates

The presence of Harpa doris Röding, 1798 in marine deposits of the last interglacial period, ~130-120 ka (marine isotope stage or MIS 5.5) in the Canary Islands (Gran Canaria, Lanzarote and Fuerteventura) enabled us to compare this occurrence with its present habitat in the Gulf of Guinea and the Cape Verde Islands, well to the south. This comparison leads to the conclusion that sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the waters around the Canary Islands during the last interglacial period were at least 3.3 °C higher than today. H. doris is found in association with the large gastropod Persististrombus latus (Gmelin, 1791) as well as the coral Siderastrea radians (Pallas, 1766). The presence of these extralimital southern,warm-water species in the Canary Islands during the last interglacial period also implies a northward expansion of plankton-feeding larvae in seawater with a high chlorophyll-a content. Such conditionswould require a shortening of the southern arm of the cool Canary Current that dominates the waters around the Canary Islands at present. Marine deposits dating to ~400 ka (MIS 11) are also found on the Canary Islands. In these deposits, the presence of Saccostrea cucullata (Born, 1778) allows a comparison with its present habitat in the Gulf of Guinea. In this analysis, we conclude that SSTs in waters around the Canary Islands during this major interglacial period were at least 4.2 °C higher than today. Middle Pleistocene fossils of S. cucullata have also been found in the western Mediterranean Sea and Morocco, as well as the Cape Verde Islands. If these deposits also date to MIS 11, SST warming could have been a regional phenomenon, including much of the eastern Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea.