9 resultados para Logit fixed effect model

em Universidad Politécnica de Madrid


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Esta tesis presenta un estudio de la resistencia de interferencia en multicascos, término que engloba las variaciones en la resistencia al avance debidas a la interacción entre cascos. Su característica más notable es que puede ser tanto positiva como negativa, contribuyendo favorablemente en este último caso a la reducción de la resistencia total. Su análisis permanece como un área activa dentro de la comunidad hidrodinámica, si bien se ha detectado una significativa falta de información experimental sobre el flujo entre cascos. En primer lugar se incluye una caracterización de los fenómenos de interferencia, evaluando su impacto en las diferentes componentes de la resistencia al avance. Al igual que la resistencia total, su predicción requiere el uso de técnicas experimentales o numéricas al ser inviable su solución analítica. Ambos procedimientos han sido considerados en esta tesis. El análisis experimental de la resistencia de interferencia supone el núcleo central del trabajo realizado. Se han ensayado dos geometrías diferentes, un catamarán de servicio comercial PESBO junto con un catamarán compuesto por dos Serie 60 (S60) en paralelo. Los ensayos se han llevado a cabo en dos canales de experiencias, CEHINAV y CEHIPAR, midiéndose resistencia al avance, asiento y trimados dinámicos, y cortes de olas en la zona entre cascos. Mención especial a estos últimos, dado que a pesar de ser en la zona central donde ocurren los principales efectos de interferencia, no se encontró información previa publicada en la literatura. Su medición requirió la fabricación de un sistema de soporte especifico para las probetas de medición. Por otro lado, aunque el Serie 60 es una geometría bien conocida en la comunidad hidrodinámica, a conocimiento del autor su comportamiento como multicasco no había sido aun caracterizado experimentalmente. Los bastidores de unión se fabricaron de forma que permitieran variar la separación entre cascos. Además, los multicascos son en general embarcaciones de alta velocidad mostrando asientos y trimados dinámicos significativos. Para cuantificar su efecto en la resistencia total y de interferencia se construyo un sistema de fijación del modelo al carro que los restringiera, posibilitando comparar los resultados en esta condición con los del modelo libre. Como resultado, se han obtenido resultados experimentales de las dos geometrías estudiadas con múltiples separaciones, incluyendo un solo casco, y con modelo fijo y libre. Una de las principales utilidades de los resultados experimentales es servir como referencia para validar modelos de predicción. Como primera aplicación, los datos experimentales obtenidos con el catamarán S60 se han contrastado con las predicciones numéricas de Yeung et al. (2004). El análisis numérico de la resistencia de interferencia se completa con la realización de simulaciones numéricas utilizando dos códigos substancialmente diferentes: Tdynlin y CD--‐Adapco Star--‐CCM+. Los cortes de olas obtenidos en las simulaciones se comparan con los valores experimentales, mostrándose además los campos de presiones y velocidades calculados sobre el casco. La principal aportación de esta tesis es una extensa caracterización experimental de los fenómenos de interferencia, con la intención de servir de referencia para futuros estudios con multicascos. El análisis de los resultados permite comprender mejor el impacto que la interacción entre cascos, así como las variaciones dinámicas de las condiciones de navegación, tienen en las diferentes componentes de la resistencia. Por otro lado, permite apreciar la dependencia de la resistencia de interferencia con la velocidad y separación entre cascos, de cara a su utilización como parámetro de diseño. ABSTRACT This thesis presents a study of the interference resistance in multihulls, which comprises all the variations in the ship resistance due to the interaction between hulls. Its most remarkable characteristic is that it can be positive or negative, contributing in the second case to the reduction of the total ship resistance. Its study remains an active area in the hydrodynamic community, although there is a significant lack of published experimental data regarding the flow between hulls. First of all, the interference phenomena are characterized, evaluating the impact in the different components of the ship resistance. Similar to the total resistance, their prediction requires experimental or numerical techniques, as no analytic solutions are known. Both procedures have been considered in this thesis. The experimental analysis of the interference resistance is the core of the work done. Two different geometries have been tested, a commercial catamaran PESBO and a catamaran composed by two parallel Series 60 (S60). The tests have been carried out in two towing tanks, CEHINAV and CEHIPAR, measuring ship resistance, dynamic sinkage and trim, and wave cuts in--‐between the hulls. Special mention to the wave cuts, as no previous published information was found regarding this zone, even if it is where the main interference effects happen. Their measurement required building a support tripod for the probes, specifically designed for this experimental campaign. In addition, although the Series 60 is a well known hull for experimental and computational analyses, to the author’s knowledge its behavior as a multihull had not yet been experimentally described. The connection frames between the hulls were built so they allowed adjusting the hull spacing. Furthermore, multihulls are usually high--‐speed vessels, acquiring significant dynamic sinkage and trim. To quantify the effect of these dynamic variations of the interference resistance, a clamping system was developed to fixed the model and compare the results with the free model condition. Thus, experimental results have been obtained for various hull separations with the two geometries analyzed, including a single hull, and with free and fixed model. One of the main applications of experimental results is to serve as a reference to validate prediction models. As a first step, the obtained experimental data with the catamaran S60 have been compared with the numerical predictions of Yeung et al. (2004). The numerical analysis of the interference resistance is completed with the inclusion of numerical simulations using two codes substantially different: Tdynlin and CD--‐Adapco Star--‐CCM+. The wave cuts obtained from the simulations are compared with the experimental ones, showing also the pressure and velocity fields over the hulls. The main contribution of this thesis is an extensive experimental characterization of the interference phenomena, aiming to serve as reference for future studies about multihulls. The analysis of the results provides insights into the impact that the interaction between hulls, as well as the dynamic variations of the sailing conditions, have in the different components of the ship resistance. Moreover, it allows us to observe the dependence of the interference resistance on the velocity and hull spacing, useful towards its use as a design parameter.

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Replication Data Management (RDM) aims at enabling the use of data collections from several iterations of an experiment. However, there are several major challenges to RDM from integrating data models and data from empirical study infrastructures that were not designed to cooperate, e.g., data model variation of local data sources. [Objective] In this paper we analyze RDM needs and evaluate conceptual RDM approaches to support replication researchers. [Method] We adapted the ATAM evaluation process to (a) analyze RDM use cases and needs of empirical replication study research groups and (b) compare three conceptual approaches to address these RDM needs: central data repositories with a fixed data model, heterogeneous local repositories, and an empirical ecosystem. [Results] While the central and local approaches have major issues that are hard to resolve in practice, the empirical ecosystem allows bridging current gaps in RDM from heterogeneous data sources. [Conclusions] The empirical ecosystem approach should be explored in diverse empirical environments.

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Este estudio pretende estimar la eficiencia y la productividad de las principales provincias de la producción de trigo en Egipto. Los datos utilizados en este estudio son datos de panel a nivel de provincias del período 1990-2012, obtenidos del Ministerio de Agricultura y Recuperación Tierras, y de la Agencia Central de Movilización Pública y Estadística, Egipto. Se aplica el enfoque de fronteras estocásticas para medir la eficiencia (función de producción de Cobb-Douglas) y se emplean las especificaciones de Battese y Coelli (1992) y (1995). También se utiliza el índice de Malmquist como una aproximación no paramétrica (Análisis de Envolvente de Datos) para descomponer la productividad total de los factores de las principales provincias productoras de trigo en Egipto en cambio técnico y cambio de eficiencia. El coeficiente de tierra es positivo y significativo en los dos especificaciones Battese y Coelli (1992) y (1995), lo que implica que aumentar la tierra para este cultivo aumentaría significativamente la producción de trigo. El coeficiente de trabajo es positivo y significativo en la especificación de Battese y Coelli (1992), mientras que es positivo y no significativo en la especificación de Battese y Coelli (1995). El coeficiente de la maquinaria es negativo y no significativo en las dos especificaciones de Battese y Coelli (1992) y (1995). El coeficiente de cambio técnico es positivo y no significativo en la especificación de Battese y Coelli (1992), mientras que es positiva y significativo en la especificación de Battese y Coelli (1995). Las variables de efectos del modelo de ineficiencia Battese y Coelli (1995) indican que no existe impacto de las diferentes provincias en la producción de trigo en Egipto; la ineficiencia técnica de la producción de trigo tendió a disminuir durante el período de estudio; y no hay ningún impacto de género en la producción de trigo en Egipto. Los niveles de eficiencia técnica varían entre las diferentes provincias para las especificaciones de Battese y Coelli (1992) y (1995); el nivel mínimo medio de eficiencia técnica es 91.61% en la provincia de Fayoum, mientras que el nivel máximo medio de la eficiencia técnica es 98.69% en la provincia de Dakahlia. La eficiencia técnica toma un valor medio de 95.37%, lo que implica poco potencial para mejorar la eficiencia de uso de recursos en la producción de trigo. La TFPCH de la producción de trigo en Egipto durante el período 1990-2012 tiene un valor menor que uno y muestra un declive. Esta disminución es debida más al componente de cambio técnico que al componente de cambio de eficiencia. La disminución de TFPCH mejora con el tiempo. La provincia de Menoufia tiene la menor disminución en TFPCH, 6.5%, mientras que dos provincias, Sharkia y Dakahlia, son las que más disminuyen en TFPCH, 13.1%, en cada uno de ellas. Menos disminución en TFPCH ocurre en el período 2009-2010, 0.3%, mientras que más disminución se produce en TFPCH en el período 1990-1991, 38.9%. La disminución de la PTF de la producción de trigo en Egipto se atribuye principalmente a la mala aplicación de la tecnología. ABSTRACT The objectives of this study are to estimate the efficiency and productivity of the main governorates of wheat production in Egypt. The data used in this study is a panel data at the governorates level, it represents the time period 1990-2012 and taken from the Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation, and the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Egypt. We apply the stochastic frontier approach for efficiency measurement (Cobb-Douglas production function) and the specifications of Battese and Coelli (1992) and (1995) are employed. Also we use Malmquist TFP index as a non-parametric approach (DEA) to decompose total factor productivity of the main governorates of wheat production in Egypt into technical change and efficiency change. The coefficient of land is positive and significant at Battese and Coelli (1992) and (1995) specifications, implying that increasing the wheat area could significantly enhance the production of wheat. The coefficient of labor is positive and significant at Battese and Coelli (1992) specification, while it is positive and insignificant at Battese and Coelli (1995) specification. The coefficient of machinery is negative and insignificant at the specifications of Battese and Coelli (1992) and (1995). The technical change coefficient is positive and insignificant at Battese and Coelli (1992) specification, while it is positive and significant at Battese and Coelli (1995) specification. The variables of the inefficiency effect model indicate that there is no impact from the location of the different governorates on wheat production in Egypt, the technical inefficiency of wheat production tended to decrease through the period of study, and there is no impact from the gender on wheat production in Egypt. The levels of technical efficiency vary among the different governorates for the specifications of Battese and Coelli (1992) and (1995); the minimum mean level of technical efficiency is 91.61% at Fayoum governorate, while the maximum mean level of technical efficiency is 98.69% at Dakahlia governorate. The technical efficiency takes an average value of 95.37%, this implying that little potential exists to improve resource use efficiency in wheat production. The TFPCH of wheat production in Egypt during the time period 1990-2012 has a value less than one and shows a decline; this decline is due mainly to the technical change component than the efficiency change component. The decline in TFPCH is generally improves over time. Menoufia governorate has the least declining in TFPCH by 6.5%, while two governorates, Sharkia and Dakahlia have the most declining in TFPCH by 13.1% for each of them. The least declining in TFPCH occurred at the period 2009- 2010 by 0.3%, while the most declining in TFPCH occurred at the period 1990-1991 by 38.9%. The declining in TFP of wheat production in Egypt is attributed mainly to poor application of technology.

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This study characterises the abatement effect of large dams with fixed-crest spillways under extreme design flood conditions. In contrast to previous studies using specific hydrographs for flow into the reservoir and simplifications to obtain analytical solutions, an automated tool was designed for calculations based on a Monte Carlo simulation environment, which integrates models that represent the different physical processes in watersheds with areas of 150?2000 km2. The tool was applied to 21 sites that were uniformly distributed throughout continental Spain, with 105 fixed-crest dam configurations. This tool allowed a set of hydrographs to be obtained as an approximation for the hydrological forcing of a dam and the characterisation of the response of the dam to this forcing. For all cases studied, we obtained a strong linear correlation between the peak flow entering the reservoir and the peak flow discharged by the dam, and a simple general procedure was proposed to characterise the peak-flow attenuation behaviour of the reservoir. Additionally, two dimensionless coefficients were defined to relate the variables governing both the generation of the flood and its abatement in the reservoir. Using these coefficients, a model was defined to allow for the estimation of the flood abatement effect of a reservoir based on the available information. This model should be useful in the hydrological design of spillways and the evaluation of the hydrological safety of dams. Finally, the proposed procedure and model were evaluated and representative applications were presented

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The agent-based model presented here, comprises an algorithm that computes the degree of hydration, the water consumption and the layer thickness of C-S-H gel as functions of time for different temperatures and different w/c ratios. The results are in agreement with reported experimental studies, demonstrating the applicability of the model. As the available experimental results regarding elevated curing temperature are scarce, the model could be recalibrated in the future. Combining the agent-based computational model with TGA analysis, a semiempirical method is achieved to be used for better understanding the microstructure development in ordinary cement pastes and to predict the influence of temperature on the hydration process.

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In order to achieve to minimize car-based trips, transport planners have been particularly interested in understanding the factors that explain modal choices. In the transport modelling literature there has been an increasing awareness that socioeconomic attributes and quantitative variables are not sufficient to characterize travelers and forecast their travel behavior. Recent studies have also recognized that users? social interactions and land use patterns influence travel behavior, especially when changes to transport systems are introduced, but links between international and Spanish perspectives are rarely deal. In this paper, factorial and path analyses through a Multiple-Indicator Multiple-Cause (MIMIC) model are used to understand and describe the relationship between the different psychological and environmental constructs with social influence and socioeconomic variables. The MIMIC model generates Latent Variables (LVs) to be incorporated sequentially into Discrete Choice Models (DCM) where the levels of service and cost attributes of travel modes are also included directly to measure the effect of the transport policies that have been introduced in Madrid during the last three years in the context of the economic crisis. The data used for this paper are collected from a two panel smartphone-based survey (n=255 and 190 respondents, respectively) of Madrid.

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The effect of biochar on the soil carbon mineral- ization priming effect depends on the characteristics of the raw materials, production method and pyrolysis conditions. The goal of the present study is to evaluate the impact of three different types of biochar on physicochemical properties and CO2 emissions of a sandy loam soil. For this purpose, soil was amended with three different biochars (BI, BII and BIII) at a rate of 8 wt % and soil CO2 emissions were measured for 45 days. BI is produced from a mixed wood sieving from wood chip production, BII from a mixture of paper sludge and wheat husks and BIII from sewage sludge. Cumulative CO2 emissions of biochars, soil and amended soil were well fit to a simple first-order kinetic model with correlation coef- ficients (r 2 ) greater than 0.97. Results show a negative prim- ing effect in the soil after addition of BI and a positive prim- ing effect in the case of soil amended with BII and BIII. These results can be related to different biochar properties such as carbon content, carbon aromaticity, volatile matter, fixed carbon, easily oxidized organic carbon or metal and phenolic substance content in addition to surface biochar properties. Three biochars increased the values of soil field capacity and wilting point, while effects over pH and cation exchange capacity were not observed.

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El artículo que se presenta a continuación recoge la ampliación de una investigación previa sobre los rebases en los espaldones de los diques verticales y en talud. Para ello se han realizado una serie de ensayos en modelo físico a escala reducida sobre la sección vertical del Dique de Levante de Málaga, cuyo objeto principal fue analizar el efecto del viento en el rebase. Los ensayos se han realizado generando oleaje con y sin viento, comparando los resultados obtenidos en cada una de las dos situaciones y se han llevado a cabo en el Canal de Oleaje y Viento de Gran Escala existente en el Laboratorio de Experimentación Marítima del Centro de Estudios de Puertos y Costas del CEDEX. The purpose of the research work as summarised in this article, resulting from diverse work carried out at the CEDEX, is to make an analysis of the influence of wind effects on the wave overtopping of vertical sea-walls. The results obtained in the Málaga´s Levante breakwater tests are presented here. The test was carried out in large sized facilities where waves and wind are generated.

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Asimple semi-empirical model for the aerodynamic behavior of a low-aspect ratio pararotor in autorotation at low Reynolds numbers is presented. The paper is split into three sections: Sec. II deals with the theoretical model derivation, Sec. III deals with the wind-tunnel measurements needed for tuning the theoretical model, and Sec. IV deals with the tuning between the theoretical model and the experimental data. The study is focused on the effect of both the blade pitch angle and the blade roughness and also on the stream velocity, on the rotation velocity, and on the drag of a model. Flow pattern visualizations have also been performed. The value of the free aerodynamic parameters of the semi-empirical model that produces the best fit with the experimental results agrees with the expected ones for the blades at the test conditions. Finally, the model is able to describe the behavior of a pararotor in autorotation that rotates fixed to a shaft, validated for a range of blade pitch angles. The movement of the device is found to be governed by a reduced set of dimensionless parameters.