Participatory modelling to support decision making in water management under uncertainty: Two comparative case studies in the Guadiana river basin, Spain.

A participatory modelling process has been conducted in two areas of the Guadiana river (the upper and the middle sub-basins), in Spain, with the aim of providing support for decision making in the water management field. The area has a semi-arid climate where irrigated agriculture plays a key role in the economic development of the region and accounts for around 90% of water use. Following the guidelines of the European Water Framework Directive, we promote stakeholder involvement in water management with the aim to achieve an improved understanding of the water system and to encourage the exchange of knowledge and views between stakeholders in order to help building a shared vision of the system. At the same time, the resulting models, which integrate the different sectors and views, provide some insight of the impacts that different management options and possible future scenarios could have. The methodology is based on a Bayesian network combined with an economic model and, in the middle Guadiana sub-basin, with a crop model. The resulting integrated modelling framework is used to simulate possible water policy, market and climate scenarios to find out the impacts of those scenarios on farm income and on the environment. At the end of the modelling process, an evaluation questionnaire was filled by participants in both sub-basins. Results show that this type of processes are found very helpful by stakeholders to improve the system understanding, to understand each others views and to reduce conflict when it exists. In addition, they found the model an extremely useful tool to support management. The graphical interface, the quantitative output and the explicit representation of uncertainty helped stakeholders to better understand the implications of the scenario tested. Finally, the combination of different types of models was also found very useful, as it allowed exploring in detail specific aspects of the water management problems.

Climate change technology transfer to developing countries: evidence analysis and policy recommendations

Developing countries are experiencing unprecedented levels of economic growth. As a result, they will be responsible for most of the future growth in energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Curbing GHG emissions in developing countries has become one of the cornerstones of a future international agreement under the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC). However, setting caps for developing countries’ GHG emissions has encountered strong resistance in the current round of negotiations. Continued economic growth that allows poverty eradication is still the main priority for most developing countries, and caps are perceived as a constraint to future growth prospects. The development, transfer and use of low-carbon technologies have more positive connotations, and are seen as the potential path towards low-carbon development. So far, the success of the UNFCCC process in improving the levels of technology transfer (TT) to developing countries has been limited. This thesis analyses the causes for such limited success and seeks to improve on the understanding about what constitutes TT in the field of climate change, establish the factors that enable them in developing countries and determine which policies could be implemented to reinforce these factors. Despite the wide recognition of the importance of technology and knowledge transfer to developing countries in the climate change mitigation policy agenda, this issue has not received sufficient attention in academic research. Current definitions of climate change TT barely take into account the perspective of actors involved in actual climate change TT activities, while respective measurements do not bear in mind the diversity of channels through which these happen and the outputs and effects that they convey. Furthermore, the enabling factors for TT in non-BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) developing countries have been seldom investigated, and policy recommendations to improve the level and quality of TTs to developing countries have not been adapted to the specific needs of highly heterogeneous countries, commonly denominated as “developing countries”. This thesis contributes to enriching the climate change TT debate from the perspective of a smaller emerging economy (Chile) and by undertaking a quantitative analysis of enabling factors for TT in a large sample of developing countries. Two methodological approaches are used to study climate change TT: comparative case study analysis and quantitative analysis. Comparative case studies analyse TT processes in ten cases based in Chile, all of which share the same economic, technological and policy frameworks, thus enabling us to draw conclusions on the enabling factors and obstacles operating in TT processes. The quantitative analysis uses three methodologies – principal component analysis, multiple regression analysis and cluster analysis – to assess the performance of developing countries in a number of enabling factors and the relationship between these factors and indicators of TT, as well as to create groups of developing countries with similar performances. The findings of this thesis are structured to provide responses to four main research questions: What constitutes technology transfer and how does it happen? Is it possible to measure technology transfer, and what are the main challenges in doing so? Which factors enable climate change technology transfer to developing countries? And how do different developing countries perform in these enabling factors, and how can differentiated policy priorities be defined accordingly? vi Resumen Los paises en desarrollo estan experimentando niveles de crecimiento economico sin precedentes. Como consecuencia, se espera que sean responsables de la mayor parte del futuro crecimiento global en demanda energetica y emisiones de Gases de Efecto de Invernadero (GEI). Reducir las emisiones de GEI en los paises en desarrollo es por tanto uno de los pilares de un futuro acuerdo internacional en el marco de la Convencion Marco de las Naciones Unidas para el Cambio Climatico (UNFCCC). La posibilidad de compromisos vinculantes de reduccion de emisiones de GEI ha sido rechazada por los paises en desarrollo, que perciben estos limites como frenos a su desarrollo economico y a su prioridad principal de erradicacion de la pobreza. El desarrollo, transferencia y uso de tecnologias bajas en carbono tiene connotaciones mas positivas y se percibe como la via hacia un crecimiento bajo en carbono. Hasta el momento, la UNFCCC ha tenido un exito limitado en la promocion de transferencias de tecnologia (TT) a paises en desarrollo. Esta tesis analiza las causas de este resultado y busca mejorar la comprension sobre que constituye transferencia de tecnologia en el area de cambio climatico, cuales son los factores que la facilitan en paises en desarrollo y que politicas podrian implementarse para reforzar dichos factores. A pesar del extendido reconocimiento sobre la importancia de la transferencia de tecnologia a paises en desarrollo en la agenda politica de cambio climatico, esta cuestion no ha sido suficientemente atendida por la investigacion existente. Las definiciones actuales de transferencia de tecnologia relacionada con la mitigacion del cambio climatico no tienen en cuenta la diversidad de canales por las que se manifiestan o los efectos que consiguen. Los factores facilitadores de TT en paises en desarrollo no BRIC (Brasil, Rusia, India y China) apenas han sido investigados, y las recomendaciones politicas para aumentar el nivel y la calidad de la TT no se han adaptado a las necesidades especificas de paises muy heterogeneos aglutinados bajo el denominado grupo de "paises en desarrollo". Esta tesis contribuye a enriquecer el debate sobre la TT de cambio climatico con la perspectiva de una economia emergente de pequeno tamano (Chile) y el analisis cuantitativo de factores que facilitan la TT en una amplia muestra de paises en desarrollo. Se utilizan dos metodologias para el estudio de la TT a paises en desarrollo: analisis comparativo de casos de estudio y analisis cuantitativo basado en metodos multivariantes. Los casos de estudio analizan procesos de TT en diez casos basados en Chile, para derivar conclusiones sobre los factores que facilitan u obstaculizan el proceso de transferencia. El analisis cuantitativo multivariante utiliza tres metodologias: regresion multiple, analisis de componentes principales y analisis cluster. Con dichas metodologias se busca analizar el posicionamiento de diversos paises en cuanto a factores que facilitan la TT; las relaciones entre dichos factores e indicadores de transferencia tecnologica; y crear grupos de paises con caracteristicas similares que podrian beneficiarse de politicas similares para la promocion de la transferencia de tecnologia. Los resultados de la tesis se estructuran en torno a cuatro preguntas de investigacion: .Que es la transferencia de tecnologia y como ocurre?; .Es posible medir la transferencia de tecnologias de bajo carbono?; .Que factores facilitan la transferencia de tecnologias de bajo carbono a paises en desarrollo? y .Como se puede agrupar a los paises en desarrollo en funcion de sus necesidades politicas para la promocion de la transferencia de tecnologias de bajo carbono?

Caracterización funcional de los genes sgb (suppressors of agb1-2 susceptibility to pathogens): Nuevos reguladores de la respuesta de inmunidad innata de Arabidopsis thaliana

Un porcentaje importante de las pérdidas de la producción agrícola se deben a las enfermedades que causan en los cultivos los hongos necrótrofos y vasculares. Para mejorar la productividad agrícola es necesario tener un conocimiento detallado de las bases genéticas y moleculares que regulan la resistencia de las plantas a este tipo de patógenos. En Arabidopsis thaliana la resistencia frente a patógenos necrótrofos, como el hongo Plectosphaerella cucumerina BMM (PcBMM), es genéticamente compleja y depende de la activación coordinada de distintas rutas de señalización, como las reguladas por las hormonas ácido salicílico (SA), ácido jasmónico (JA), etileno (ET) y ácido abscísico (ABA), así como de la síntesis de compuestos antimicrobianos derivados del Triptófano y de la integridad de la pared celular (Llorente et al., 2005, Hernández-Blanco et al., 2007; Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). Uno de los componentes claves en la regulación de la resistencia de las plantas a patógenos (incluidos hongos necrótrofos y biótrofos) es la proteína G heterotrimérica, un complejo proteico formado por tres subunidades (Gα, Gβ y Gγ), que también regula distintos procesos del desarrollo vegetal. En Arabidopsis hay un gen que codifica para la subunidad α (GPA1), otro para la β (AGB1), y tres genes para la subunidad γ (AGG1, AGG2 y AGG3). El complejo GPA1-AGB1-AGG (1-3) se activa y disocia tras la percepción de una señal específica, actuando el dímero AGB1-AGG1/2 como un monómero funcional que regula las respuestas de defensa (Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). Estudios transcriptómicos y análisis bioquímicos de la pared celular en los que se comparaban los mutantes agb1-2 y agg1 agg2, y plantas silvestres (Col-0) revelaron que la resistencia mediada por Gβ-Gγ1/2 no es dependiente de rutas de defensa previamente caracterizadas, y sugieren que la proteína G podría modular la composición/estructura (integridad) de la pared celular (Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). Recientemente, se ha demostrado que AGB1 es un componente fundamental de la respuesta inmune mediada por Pathogen- Associated Molecular Patterns (PTI), ya que los mutantes agb1-2 son incapaces de activar tras el tratamiento con PAMPs respuestas de inmunidad, como la producción de especies reactivas de oxígeno (ROS; Liu et al., 2013). Dada la importancia de la proteína G heterotrimérica en la regulación de la respuestas de defensa (incluida la PTI) realizamos un escrutinio de mutantes supresores de la susceptibilidad de agb1-2 al hongo necrótrofo, PcBMM, para identificar componentes adicionales de las rutas de señalización reguladas por AGB1. En este escrutinio se aislaron cuatro mutantes sgb (suppressors of agb1-2 susceptibility to pathogens), dos de los cuales, sgb10 y sgb11, se han caracterizado en la presente Tesis Doctoral. El mutante sgb10 es un segundo alelo nulo del gen MKP1 (At3g55270) que codifica la MAP quinasa-fosfatasa 1 (Bartels et al., 2009). Este mutante presenta lesiones espontáneas en plantas adultas y una activación constitutiva de las principales rutas de defensa (SA, JA y ET, y de metabolitos secundarios, como la camalexina), que explicaría su elevada resistencia a PcBMM y Pseudomonas syringae. Estudios epistáticos sugieren que la resistencia mediada por SGB10 no es dependiente, si no complementaria a la regulada por AGB1. El mutante sgb10 es capaz de restablecer en agb1-2 la producción de ROS y otras respuestas PTI (fosforilación de las MAPK6/3/4/11) tras el tratamiento con PAMPs tan diversos como flg22, elf18 y quitina, lo que demuestra el papel relevante de SGB10/MKP1 y de AGB1 en PTI. El mutante sgb11 se caracteriza por presentar un fenotipo similar a los mutantes irregular xylem (e.g. irx1) afectado en pared celular secundaria: irregularidades en las células xilemáticas, reducción en el tamaño de la roseta y altura de planta, y hojas con un mayor contenido de clorofila. La resistencia de sgb11 a PcBMM es independiente de agb1-2, ya que la susceptibilidad del doble mutante sgb11 agb1-2 es intermedia entre la de agb1-2 y sgb11. El mutante sgb11 no revierte la deficiente PTI de agb1-2 tras el tratamiento con flg22, lo que indica que está alterado en una ruta distinta de la regulada por SGB10. sgb11 presenta una sobreactivación de la ruta del ácido abscísico (ABA), lo que podría explicar su resistencia a PcBMM. La mutación sgb11 ha sido cartografiada en el cromosoma III de Arabidopsis entre los marcadores AthFUS6 (81,64cM) y nga6 (86,41cM) en un intervalo de aproximadamente 200 kb, que comprende genes, entre los que no se encuentra ninguno previamente descrito como IRX. El aislamiento y caracterización de SGB11 apoya la relevancia de la proteína G heterotrimérica en la regulación de la interconexión entre integridad de la pared celular e inmunidad. ABSTRACT A significant percentage of agricultural losses are due to diseases caused by necrotrophic and vascular fungi. To enhance crop yields is necessary to have a detailed knowledge of the genetic and molecular bases regulating plant resistance to these pathogens. Arabidopsis thaliana resistance to necrotrophic pathogens, such as Plectosphaerella cucumerina BMM (PcBMM) fungus, is genetically complex and depends on the coordinated activation of various signaling pathways. These include those regulated by salicylic acid (SA), jasmonic acid (JA), ethylene (ET) and abscisic acid (ABA) hormones and the synthesis of tryptophan-derived antimicrobial compounds and cell wall integrity (Llorente et al., 2005, Hernández-Blanco et al., 2007; Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). One key component in the regulation of plant resistance to pathogens (including biotrophic and necrotrophic fungi) is the heterotrimeric G-protein. This protein complex is formed by three subunits (Gα, Gβ and Gγ), which also regulates various plant developmental processes. In Arabidopsis only one gene encodes for subunits α (GPA1) and β (AGB1), and three genes for subunit γ (AGG1, AGG2 y AGG3). The complex GPA1- AGB1-AGG(1-3) is activated and dissociates after perception of an specific signal, AGB1- AGG1/2 acts as a functional monomer regulating defense responses (Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). Comparative transcriptomic studies and biochemical analyses of the cell wall of agb1-2 and agg1agg2 mutant and wild plants (Col-0), showed that Gβ-Gγ1/2-mediated resistance is not dependent on previously characterized defense pathways. In addition, it suggests that G protein may modulate the composition/structure (integrity) of the plant cell wall (Delgado-Cerezo et al., 2012). Recently, it has been shown that AGB1 is a critical component of the immune response mediated by Pathogen-Associated Molecular Patterns (PTI), as agb1-2 mutants are unable to activate immune responses such as oxygen reactive species (ROS) production after PAMPs treatment (Liu et al., 2013). Considering the importance of the heterotrimeric G protein in regulation of defense responses (including PTI), we performed a screening for suppressors of agb1-2 susceptibility to the necrotrophic fungus PcBMM. This would allow the identification of additional components of the signaling pathways regulated by AGB1. In this search four sgb mutants (suppressors of agb1-2 susceptibility to pathogens) were isolated, two of which, sgb10 and sgb11, have been characterized in this PhD thesis. sgb10 mutant is a second null allele of MKP1 gene (At3g55270), which encodes the MAP kinase-phosphatase 1 (Bartels et al., 2009). This mutant exhibits spontaneous lesions in adult plants and a constitutive activation of the main defense pathways (SA, JA and ET, and secondary metabolites, such as camalexin), which explains its high resistance to Pseudomonas syringae and PcBMM. Epistatic studies suggest that SGB10- mediated resistance is not dependent, but complementary to the regulated by AGB1. The sgb10 mutant is able to restore agb1-2 ROS production and other PTI responses (MAPK6/3/4/11 phosphorylation) upon treatment with PAMPs as diverse as, flg22, elf18 and chitin, demonstrating the relevant role of SGB10/MKP1 and AGB1 in PTI. sgb11 mutant is characterized by showing a similar phenotype to irregular xylem mutants (e.g. irx1), affected in secondary cell wall: irregular xylems cells, rosette size reduction and plant height, and higher chlorophyll content on leaves. The resistance of sgb11 to PcBMM is independent of agb1-2, as susceptibility of the double mutant agb1-2sgb11 is intermediate between agb1-2 and sgb11. The sgb11 mutant does not revert the deficient PTI response in agb1-2 after flg22 treatment, indicating that is altered in a pathway different to the one regulated by SGB10. sgb11 presents an over-activation of the abscisic acid pathway (ABA), which could explain its resistance to PcBMM. The sgb11 mutation has been mapped on chromosome III of Arabidopsis, between AthFUS6 (81.64 cM) and nga6 (86.41 cM) markers, in 200 kb interval, which does not include previously known IRX genes. The isolation and characterization of SGB11 supports the importance of heterotrimeric G protein in the regulation of the interconnection between the cell wall integrity and immunity.

Metro de Madrid rolling stock models and comparative studies relating to comfort

This paper presents the work carried out by Metro de Madrid and the Railway Technology Research Centre (Polytechnic University of Madrid), aimed at setting up rolling stock simulation models with a high level of detail. To do this, the features of the SIMPACK simulation tool used to create models have been briefly outlined, explaining the main features of models in two of the series modelled: 7000 and 8000. Finally, the results obtained from comparing comfort in the 7000 and 8000 series are presented.