Prediction of PM10 concentrations using Fuzzy c-Means and ANN

Salamanca has been considered among the most polluted cities in Mexico. The vehicular park, the industry and the emissions produced by agriculture, as well as orography and climatic characteristics have propitiated the increment in pollutant concentration of Particulate Matter less than 10 μg/m3 in diameter (PM10). In this work, a Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network has been used to make the prediction of an hour ahead of pollutant concentration. A database used to train the Neural Network corresponds to historical time series of meteorological variables (wind speed, wind direction, temperature and relative humidity) and air pollutant concentrations of PM10. Before the prediction, Fuzzy c-Means clustering algorithm have been implemented in order to find relationship among pollutant and meteorological variables. These relationship help us to get additional information that will be used for predicting. Our experiments with the proposed system show the importance of this set of meteorological variables on the prediction of PM10 pollutant concentrations and the neural network efficiency. The performance estimation is determined using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The results shown that the information obtained in the clustering step allows a prediction of an hour ahead, with data from past 2 hours

Reconstructing the Timing and Dispersion Routes of HIV-1 Subtype B Epidemics in The Caribbean and Central America: A Phylogenetic Story.

The Caribbean and Central America are among the regions with highest HIV-1B prevalence worldwide. Despite of this high virus burden, little is known about the timing and the migration patterns of HIV-1B in these regions. Migration is one of the major processes shaping the genetic structure of virus populations. Thus, reconstruction of epidemiological network may contribute to understand HIV-1B evolution and reduce virus prevalence. We have investigated the spatio-temporal dynamics of the HIV-1B epidemic in The Caribbean and Central America using 1,610 HIV-1B partial pol sequences from 13 Caribbean and 5 Central American countries. Timing of HIV-1B introduction and virus evolutionary rates, as well as the spatial genetic structure of the HIV-1B populations and the virus migration patterns were inferred. Results revealed that in The Caribbean and Central America most of the HIV-1B variability was generated since the 80 s. At odds with previous data suggesting that Haiti was the origin of the epidemic in The Caribbean, our reconstruction indicated that the virus could have been disseminated from Puerto Rico and Antigua. These two countries connected two distinguishable migration areas corresponding to the (mainly Spanish-colonized) Easter and (mainly British-colonized) Western islands, which indicates that virus migration patterns are determined by geographical barriers and by the movement of human populations among culturally related countries. Similar factors shaped the migration of HIV-1B in Central America. The HIV-1B population was significantly structured according to the country of origin, and the genetic diversity in each country was associated with the virus prevalence in both regions, which suggests that virus populations evolve mainly through genetic drift. Thus, our work contributes to the understanding of HIV-1B evolution and dispersion pattern in the Americas, and its relationship with the geography of the area and the movements of human populations.

The normalization of the "Active-Sedentary" lifestyle in spanish youth

Sedentarism has become one of the major concerns of our times. Nowadays people spend most of the time sitting down and moving by mechanical means instead of exercising themselves. Younger generations do only a little more sport today than their counterparts did a decade ago. In other words, sedentary habits have become common in our society, especially among the young. What cultural mechanisms have contributed to this? What are the consequences of a sedentary lifestyle for our health and well-being? These are the questions we have posed in this study. We conducted qualitative research among Spanish young people, and the results have provided important clues to help us understand better how ?active sedentarism? has become the norm among young people.

Effects of physical exercise and hydration on homocysteine concentrations in physically active male adults = Efectos del ejercicio físico y la hidratación sobre las concentraciones de homocisteína en varones físicamente activos

La presente tesis analiza el efecto del ejercicio físico agudo y la hidratación sobre las concentraciones de homocisteína total (tHcy) y su relación con los parámetros implicados en el metabolismo de la homocisteína como el folato, la vitamina B12, y la creatina en una muestra de varones jóvenes físicamente activos. El trabajo se basa en los resultados del estudio realizado en la Facultad de Ciencias de la Actividad Física y del Deporte de la Universidad Politécnica de Madrid. Para el cual se contó con un total de 29 voluntarios sanos físicamente activos de la Comunidad de Madrid. Los principales resultados de esta tesis son: a) Las concentraciones de tHcy aumentaron después del ejercicio agudo tanto tras una prueba de intensidad máxima (VO2max) como una submáxima (65 % of VO2max) en varones físicamente activos independientemente de las sus concentraciones basales de tHcy. b) Las concentraciones de tHcy disminuyeron 2 h después del ejercicio físico aeróbico submáximo tras aplicar un protocolo de hidratación con una bebida para deportistas. c) Un adecuado protocolo de hidratación durante el ejercicio físico agudo previno el aumento de las concentraciones de tHcy hasta 2 h después del ejercicio. d) Las concentraciones de tHcy aumentaron a las 6 h tras la finalización del ejercicio únicamente en los test en los que no se siguió un protocolo de hidratación durante el ejercicio físico. e) A las 24 h tras el ejercicio, las concentraciones de tHcy volvieron a los niveles basales independientemente de si se aplicó un protocolo de hidratación durante el ejercicio o no. f) Es necesario aclarar si existen mecanismos subyacentes relacionados con el riesgo cardiovascular debido al aumento transitorio de las concentraciones de tHcy inducidas por el ejercicio agudo. Se necesitan más estudios que analicen la relación entre las concentraciones de tHcy después del ejercicio físico agudo y la implicación de la creatina, vitamina B12 y folato como parámetros relacionados en el metabolismo de la homocisteína. El efecto agudo del ejercicio físico aumenta las concentraciones de tHcy por encima de los valores recomendados; sin embargo, un adecuado protocolo de hidratación mantiene las concentraciones a niveles basales y previene el posterior aumento en una muestra de varones adultos físicamente activos. ABSTRACT The current thesis analyzes the effect of exercise and hydration on total homocysteine (tHcy) concentrations and the relationship with the implicated parameters, like folate, vitamin B12, and creatine in physically active male adults. The work is based on the results of the study conducted at the Faculty of Physical Activity and Sport Sciences of the Technical University of Madrid. A total of 29 physically active voluntary healthy males from the Region of Madrid were recruited. The main outcomes of this thesis are: a) tHcy concentrations increased after acute exercise with both, maximal (VO2max) and submaximal (65 % of VO2max) tests in physically active male subjects independently of their baseline tHcy status. b) After 2 h of rehydration with a sport drink, tHcy concentrations, which had previously increased during an acute exercise, decreased significantly, although they didn´t recover to baseline values. c) An adequate hydration protocol during acute aerobic submaximal exercise prevents the increase of tHcy concentrations and maintains these concentrations at baseline up to 2 h post-exercise. d) Serum tHcy concentrations increased after submaximal exercise when the hydration protocol during exercise was not applied. Furthermore, tHcy concentrations reached maximal values 6 h after the end of exercise. e) At 24 h, tHcy concentrations recovered baseline values independently whether or not there was a hydration protocol during exercise. f) There is a need to clarify the underlying mechanisms related to cardiovascular risk due to the transient increase of tHcy concentrations induced by acute exercise. Further research analayzing the relationship between tHcy concentrations after acute exercise and the implication of creatine, vitamin B12 and folate as related parameters in the homocysteine metabolism is needed. Finally, tHcy concentrations increased above the recommended values after an acute aerobic submaximal exercise; nevertheless, a good hydration protocol maintains tHcy concentrations at baseline and prevents the further increase in a sample of physically active male adults.