37 resultados para On call

em University of Michigan


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Extracted from The National Preacher. v. 5, no. 8.

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First edition issued as a mimeographed booklet in 1933. cf. "In explanation," signed: Rufus A. Coleman.

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"First published ... in March 1943."

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"Where the following resolution was moved from the chair and carried by acclamation: That this meeting urges the importance, on the grounds of justice to the long-suffering and oppressed Christians of the Turkish Empire, of the restauration of the great Christian Church of Saint Sophia to Christian worship.

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Other slight variations in title.

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We introduce a family of rules for adjusting one’s credences in response to learning the credences of others. These rules have a number of desirable features. 1. They yield the posterior credences that would result from updating by standard Bayesian conditionalization on one’s peers’ reported credences if one’s likelihood function takes a particular simple form. 2. In the simplest form, they are symmetric among the agents in the group. 3. They map neatly onto the familiar Condorcet voting results. 4. They preserve shared agreement about independence in a wide range of cases. 5. They commute with conditionalization and with multiple peer updates. Importantly, these rules have a surprising property that we call synergy — peer testimony of credences can provide mutually supporting evidence raising an individual’s credence higher than any peer’s initial prior report. At first, this may seem to be a strike against them. We argue, however, that synergy is actually a desirable feature and the failure of other updating rules to yield synergy is a strike against them.