Timescales for Detecting a Significant Acceleration in Sea Level Rise


Autoria(s): Haigh, Ivan D.; Wahl, Thomas; Rohling, Eelco J.; Price, René M.; Pattiaratchi, Charitha B.; Calafat, Francisco M.; Dangendorf, Sönke
Data(s)

14/04/2014

Resumo

There is observational evidence that global sea level is rising and there is concern that the rate of rise will increase, significantly threatening coastal communities. However, considerable debate remains as to whether the rate of sea level rise is currently increasing and, if so, by how much. Here we provide new insights into sea level accelerations by applying the main methods that have been used previously to search for accelerations in historical data, to identify the timings (with uncertainties) at which accelerations might first be recognized in a statistically significant manner (if not apparent already) in sea level records that we have artificially extended to 2100. We find that the most important approach to earliest possible detection of a significant sea level acceleration lies in improved understanding (and subsequent removal) of interannual to multidecadal variability in sea level records.

Formato

application/pdf

Identificador

https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/fce_lter_journal_articles/301

https://digitalcommons.fiu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1304&context=fce_lter_journal_articles

Publicador

FIU Digital Commons

Direitos

by-nd

Fonte

FCE LTER Journal Articles

Palavras-Chave #Climate #Earth Sciences #Oceanography #Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology
Tipo

text