Financial Policies and Dynamic Game Simulation in Poland and Hungary


Autoria(s): Yoshino, Hisao
Data(s)

21/07/2009

21/07/2009

01/03/2009

Resumo

Recently, steady economic growth rates have been kept in Poland and Hungary. Money supplies are growing rather rapidly in these economies. In large, exchange rates have trends of depreciation. Then, exports and prices show the steady growth rates. It can be thought that per capita GDPs are in the same level and development stages are similar in these two countries. It is assumed that these two economies have the same export market and export goods are competing in it. If one country has an expansion of monetary policy, price increase and interest rate decrease. Then, exchange rate decrease. Exports and GDP will increase through this phenomenon. At the same time, this expanded monetary policy affects another country through the trade. This mutual relationship between two countries can be expressed by the Nash-equilibrium in the Game theory. In this paper, macro-econometric models of Polish and Hungarian economies are built and the Nash- equilibrium is introduced into them.

Identificador

IDE Discussion Paper. No. 187. 2009. 03

http://hdl.handle.net/2344/844

IDE Discussion Paper

187

Idioma(s)

en

eng

Publicador

Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO

日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所

Palavras-Chave #East Europe #Poland #Hungary #Monetary policy #Nash-equilibrium #Game theory #Macro-econometric model #Trade #Simulation #Reaction function #Money supply #Central bank #338. 3 #EE East Europe 東ヨーロッパ #EEHU Hungary ハンガリー #EEPL Poland ポーランド #C73 - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; #E17 - Forecasting and Simulation #E52 - Monetary Policy #F42 - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Tipo

Working Paper

Technical Report