The Great Moderation Flattens Fat Tails: Disappearing Leptokurtosis


Autoria(s): Fang, WenShwo; Miller, Stephen M.; Lee, ChunShen
Data(s)

01/12/2008

Resumo

Recently, Fagiolo et al. (2008) find fat tails of economic growth rates after adjusting outliers, autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity. This paper employs US quarterly real output growth, showing that this finding of fat tails may reflect the Great Moderation. That is, leptokurtosis disappears after GARCH adjustment once we incorporate the break in the variance equation.

Formato

application/pdf

Identificador

http://digitalcommons.uconn.edu/econ_wpapers/200848

http://digitalcommons.uconn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1387&context=econ_wpapers

Publicador

DigitalCommons@UConn

Fonte

Economics Working Papers

Palavras-Chave #Real GDP growth #the Great Moderation #leptokurtosis #GARCH models #Economics
Tipo

text