Ground-level ozone prediction using a neural network model based on meteorological variables and applied to the metropolitan area of Sao Paulo


Autoria(s): Borges, Alessandro Santos; Andrade, Maria de Fatima; Guardani, Roberto
Contribuinte(s)

UNIVERSIDADE DE SÃO PAULO

Data(s)

25/10/2013

25/10/2013

2012

Resumo

A neural network model to predict ozone concentration in the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area was developed, based on average values of meteorological variables in the morning (8:00-12:00 hr) and afternoon (13:00-17: 00 hr) periods. Outputs are the maximum and average ozone concentrations in the afternoon (12:00-17:00 hr). The correlation coefficient between computed and measured values was 0.82 and 0.88 for the maximum and average ozone concentration, respectively. The model presented good performance as a prediction tool for the maximum ozone concentration. For prediction periods from 1 to 5 days 0 to 23% failures (95% confidence) were obtained.

FAPESP

FAPESP

CAPES

CAPES

Identificador

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT AND POLLUTION, GENEVA, v. 49, n. 41306, supl. 1, Part 6, pp. 1-15, AUG, 2012

0957-4352

http://www.producao.usp.br/handle/BDPI/36108

10.1504/IJEP.2012.049730

http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJEP.2012.049730

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

INDERSCIENCE ENTERPRISES LTD

GENEVA

Relação

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT AND POLLUTION

Direitos

closedAccess

Copyright INDERSCIENCE ENTERPRISES LTD

Palavras-Chave #OZONE FORECAST #NEURAL NETWORK #AIR POLLUTION IN MEGACITIES #TROPOSPHERIC OZONE #LARGE URBAN AREAS #BRAZIL #ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Tipo

article

original article

publishedVersion