The role of clouds in improving the regression model for hourly values of diffuse solar radiation


Autoria(s): Furlan, Claudia; de Oliveira, Amauri Pereira; Soares, Jacyra; Codato, Georgia; Escobedo, Joao Francisco
Contribuinte(s)

UNIVERSIDADE DE SÃO PAULO

Data(s)

12/10/2013

12/10/2013

2012

Resumo

The study introduces a new regression model developed to estimate the hourly values of diffuse solar radiation at the surface. The model is based on the clearness index and diffuse fraction relationship, and includes the effects of cloud (cloudiness and cloud type), traditional meteorological variables (air temperature, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure observed at the surface) and air pollution (concentration of particulate matter observed at the surface). The new model is capable of predicting hourly values of diffuse solar radiation better than the previously developed ones (R-2 = 0.93 and RMSE = 0.085). A simple version with a large applicability is proposed that takes into consideration cloud effects only (cloudiness and cloud height) and shows a R-2 = 0.92. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

CNPq

CNPq

FAPESP

FAPESP

'Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Padova e Rovigo'

Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Padova e Rovigo

Identificador

APPLIED ENERGY, OXFORD, v. 92, n. 3, supl. 1, Part 1, pp. 240-254, APR, 2012

0306-2619

http://www.producao.usp.br/handle/BDPI/34246

10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.10.032

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.10.032

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

ELSEVIER SCI LTD

OXFORD

Relação

APPLIED ENERGY

Direitos

closedAccess

Copyright ELSEVIER SCI LTD

Palavras-Chave #REGRESSION #DIFFUSE SOLAR RADIATION MODEL #CLOUD #CORRELATION MODELS #LIU-JORDAN #ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK #SAO-PAULO #SPECTRAL IRRADIANCE #HORIZONTAL SURFACE #SUNSHINE DURATION #GLOBAL RADIATION #SKY CONDITIONS #SATELLITE DATA #BRAZIL #FRACTION #ENERGY & FUELS #ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL
Tipo

article

original article

publishedVersion