Explaining the high number of infected people by dengue in Rio de Janeiro in 2008 using a susceptible-infective-recovered model


Autoria(s): Botari, Tiago; Alves, S. G.; Leonel, Edson Denis
Contribuinte(s)

Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)

Data(s)

30/09/2013

20/05/2014

30/09/2013

20/05/2014

18/03/2011

Resumo

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

An epidemiological model for dengue propagation using cellular automata is constructed. Dependence on temperature and rainfall index are taken into account. Numerical results fit pretty well with the registered cases of dengue for the city of Rio de Janeiro for the period from 2006 to 2008. In particular, our approach explains very well an abnormally high number of cases registered in 2008. A phase transition from endemic to epidemic regimes is discussed.

Formato

4

Identificador

http://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.83.037101

Physical Review E. College Pk: Amer Physical Soc, v. 83, n. 3, p. 4, 2011.

1539-3755

http://hdl.handle.net/11449/24870

10.1103/PhysRevE.83.037101

WOS:000288538600007

WOS000288538600007.pdf

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

Amer Physical Soc

Relação

Physical Review E

Direitos

closedAccess

Tipo

info:eu-repo/semantics/article