Do equity and foreign currency risk premiums display common patterns?


Autoria(s): Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino; Costa, Carlos Eugênio da
Data(s)

22/12/2014

22/12/2014

24/11/2006

Resumo

In da Costa et al. (2006) we have shown how a same pricing kernel can account for the excess returns of the S&:P500 over the US short term bond and of the uncovered over the covered trading of foreign government bonds. In this paper we estimate and test the overidentifying restrictiom; of Euler equations associated with "ix different versions of the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing I\Iodel. Our main finding is that the same (however often unreasonable) values for the parameters are estimated for ali models in both nmrkets. In most cases, the rejections or otherwise of overidentifying restrictions occurs for the two markets, suggesting that success and failure stories for the equity premium repeat themselves in foreign exchange markets. Our results corroborate the findings in da Costa et al. (2006) that indicate a strong similarity between the behavior of excess returns in the two markets when modeled as risk premiums, providing empirical grounds to believe that the proposed preference-based solutions to puzzles in domestic financiaI markets can certainly shed light on the Forward Premium Puzzle.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10438/12969

Idioma(s)

en_US

Publicador

Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia

Relação

Seminários de Almoço da EPGE

Direitos

Todo cuidado foi dispensado para respeitar os direitos autorais deste trabalho. Entretanto, caso esta obra aqui depositada seja protegida por direitos autorais externos a esta instituição, contamos com a compreensão do autor e solicitamos que o mesmo faça contato através do Fale Conosco para que possamos tomar as providências cabíveis.

Palavras-Chave #Equity Premium Puzzle #Forward Premi um Puzzle #CCAPM #Habit Formation #ExternaI Time-varying Reference Consumption Level #Mercado financeiro - Modelos matemáticos #Câmbio
Tipo

Working Paper