Using a panel structure to discuss the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in developing countries


Autoria(s): Rocha, Fabiana
Data(s)

02/12/2014

02/12/2014

06/06/2002

Resumo

The purpose of this paper is to test the implications of current account solvency for the savinginvestment correlation in developing countries. Since solvency is a long-run phenomenon, and given that the power of the standard unit root and cointegration tests is low, we exploit the panel structure of the sample of 29 developing countries. We find evidence that saving and investment are cointegrated and that the current account is stationary. Therefore, the Feldstein-Horioka correlations are not a puzzle in the sense they reflect the intertemporal budget constraint. The same results are obtained for different subsamples (Africa, Asia, and Latin America) and for different periods of time (1960-74 and 1975-96). We, then, suggest that an error correction model should distinguish between the long-run correlation, which reflects the solvency condition, and the short-run correlation, which could measure capital mobility.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10438/12645

Idioma(s)

en_US

Publicador

Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV

Relação

Seminários de pesquisa econômica da EPGE;

Direitos

Todo cuidado foi dispensado para respeitar os direitos autorais deste trabalho. Entretanto, caso esta obra aqui depositada seja protegida por direitos autorais externos a esta instituição, contamos com a compreensão do autor e solicitamos que o mesmo faça contato através do Fale Conosco para que possamos tomar as providências cabíveis.

Palavras-Chave #Capital mobility #Panel unit roots #Panel cointegration #Developing countries #Desenvolvimento econômico #Poupança e investimento #Modelos econométricos
Tipo

Working Paper