A notion of subgame perfect Nash equilibrium under knightian uncertainty


Autoria(s): Werlang, Sérgio Ribeiro da Costa
Data(s)

13/05/2008

23/09/2010

13/05/2008

23/09/2010

01/03/2000

Resumo

We define a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium under Knightian uncertainty for two players, by means of a recursive backward induction procedure. We prove an extension of the Zermelo-von Neumann-Kuhn Theorem for games of perfect information, i. e., that the recursive procedure generates a Nash equilibrium under uncertainty (Dow and Werlang(1994)) of the whole game. We apply the notion for two well known games: the chain store and the centipede. On the one hand, we show that subgame perfection under Knightian uncertainty explains the chain store paradox in a one shot version. On the other hand, we show that subgame perfection under uncertainty does not account for the leaving behavior observed in the centipede game. This is in contrast to Dow, Orioli and Werlang(1996) where we explain by means of Nash equilibria under uncertainty (but not subgame perfect) the experiments of McKelvey and Palfrey(1992). Finally, we show that there may be nontrivial subgame perfect equilibria under uncertainty in more complex extensive form games, as in the case of the finitely repeated prisoner's dilemma, which accounts for cooperation in early stages of the game.

Identificador

0104-8910

http://hdl.handle.net/10438/984

Idioma(s)

en_US

Publicador

Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV

Relação

Ensaios Econômicos;376

Palavras-Chave #Economia
Tipo

Working Paper