Are Indian stock returns predictable?


Autoria(s): Narayan, Paresh Kumar; Bannigidadmath, Deepa
Data(s)

01/09/2015

Resumo

In this paper we show that Indian stock returns, based on industry portfolios, portfolios sorted on book-to-market, and on size, are predictable. While we discover that this predictability holds both in in-sample and out-of-sample tests, predictability is not homogenous. Some predictors are important than others and some industries and portfolios of stocks are more predictable and, therefore, more profitable than others. We also discover that a mean combination forecast approach delivers significant out-of-sample performance. Our results survive a battery of robustness tests.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30076667

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

Elsevier

Relação

http://dro.deakin.edu.au/eserv/DU:30076667/narayan-areindian-2015.pdf

http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.05.001

Direitos

2015, Elsevier

Palavras-Chave #India #Predictability #Profits #Rational asset pricing #Sectors #Stock returns
Tipo

Journal Article