Quantifying heteroskedasticity using slope of local variances index


Autoria(s): Hassan, Marwa; Hossny, Mohammed; Nahavandi, Saeid; Creighton, Douglas
Contribuinte(s)

[Unknown]

Data(s)

01/01/2013

Resumo

In econometrics, heteroskedasticity refers to the case when the variances of the error terms of the data in hand are not equal. Heteroskedastic time series are challenging to different forecasting models. However, all available solutions adopt the strategy of accommodating heteroskedasticity in the time series and consider it as a type of noise. Some statistical tests were developed over the past three decades to determine whether a time series features heteroskedastic behaviour. This paper presents a novel strategy to handle this problem by deriving a quantifying measure for heteroskedasticity. The proposed measure relies on the definition of heteroskedasticity as a time-variant variance in the time series. In this work, heteroskedasticity is measured by calculating local variances using linear filters, estimating variance trends, calculating changes in variance slopes, and finally obtaining the average slope angle. The results confirm that the proposed index complies with the widely popular heteroskedasticity tests.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30055219

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

IEEE Computer Society

Relação

http://dro.deakin.edu.au/eserv/DU:30055219/hassan-quantifyingheterslope-2013.pdf

http://dro.deakin.edu.au/eserv/DU:30055219/hassan-quantifyingheterslope-evid-2013.pdf

http://doi.org/10.1109/UKSim.2013.75

Palavras-Chave #quantifying heteroskedasticity #local variance
Tipo

Conference Paper