Assessing risk for sexual offenders in New Zealand : development and validation of a computer-scored risk measure


Autoria(s): Skelton, Alexander; Riley, David; Wales, David; Vess, James
Data(s)

01/11/2006

Resumo

A growing research base supports the predictive validity of actuarial methods of risk assessment with sexual offenders. These methods use clearly defined variables with demonstrated empirical association with re-offending. The advantages of actuarial measures for screening large numbers of offenders quickly and economically are further enhanced when the variables used can be extracted from existing electronic databases. This study reports the results of applying a computerized set of historical variables with a sample of 1,133 male sexual offenders released from prison by the New Zealand Department of Corrections. Area under the curve figures of 0.70-0.78 were obtained over periods of 5 to 15 years, reflecting a significant level of association with sexual recidivism. Detected rates of re-offending across risk levels were comparable to those previously reported for the Static-99. Rates of sexual re-offending by child molesters for all sexual offences and offences against child victims are reported separately. <br />

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30019524

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

Whiting and Birch

Relação

http://dro.deakin.edu.au/eserv/DU:30019524/vess-assessingriskforsexual-2006.pdf

http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13552600601100326

Direitos

2006, Routledge

Palavras-Chave #sexual offenders #risk assessment #static variables #sexual recidivism
Tipo

Journal Article