The behaviour of US stock prices : evidence from a threshold autoregressive model


Autoria(s): Narayan, Paresh Kumar
Data(s)

11/04/2006

Resumo

This paper investigates the behaviour of US stock prices using an unrestricted two-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) model with an autoregressive unit root. The TAR model is applied to monthly stock price (NYSE Common Stocks) data for the US for the period 1964:06 to 2003:04. Amongst our main results, we find that the US stock price is a nonlinear series that is characterized by a unit root process, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis.<br />

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10536/DRO/DU:30018546

Idioma(s)

eng

Publicador

Elsevier

Relação

http://dro.deakin.edu.au/eserv/DU:30018546/narayan-behaviourofusstock-2006.pdf

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2005.11.016

Direitos

2005, IMACS

Palavras-Chave #threshold autoregressive model #efficient market hypothesis
Tipo

Journal Article