Working Group 1: Future developments in deterministic and stochastic parametrizations


Autoria(s): Pincus, R; Shutts, G; Forbes, R; Arnold, H; Crommelin, D; Descamps, L; Dorrestijn, J; Feddersen, H; Komori, T; Kwasinok, F; McNamara, H; Plant, Bob; Raisanen, P; Randall, D; Rauser, F; Seifert, A; Teixeira, J; Zanna, L
Data(s)

2011

Resumo

Our group considered the desirability of including representations of uncertainty in the development of parameterizations. (By ‘uncertainty’ here we mean the deviation of sub-grid scale fluxes or tendencies in any given model grid box from truth.) We unanimously agreed that the ECWMF should attempt to provide a more physical basis for uncertainty estimates than the very effective but ad hoc methods being used at present. Our discussions identified several issues that will arise.

Formato

text

Identificador

http://centaur.reading.ac.uk/25746/1/Working_Group_Reports.pdf

Pincus, R., Shutts, G., Forbes, R., Arnold, H., Crommelin, D., Descamps, L., Dorrestijn, J., Feddersen, H., Komori, T., Kwasinok, F., McNamara, H., Plant, B. <http://centaur.reading.ac.uk/view/creators/90000378.html>, Raisanen, P., Randall, D., Rauser, F., Seifert, A., Teixeira, J. and Zanna, L. (2011) Working Group 1: Future developments in deterministic and stochastic parametrizations. In: Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction Models , 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading, vii-xi.

Idioma(s)

en

Relação

http://centaur.reading.ac.uk/25746/

creatorInternal Plant, Bob

http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/library/do/references/list/201106

Tipo

Conference or Workshop Item

PeerReviewed