The Ghost in the Machine: Inferring Machine-Based Strategies from Observed Behavior


Autoria(s): ENGLE-WARNICK, Jim; Mccausland, William; MILLER, John H.
Data(s)

22/09/2006

22/09/2006

2004

Resumo

We introduce a procedure to infer the repeated-game strategies that generate actions in experimental choice data. We apply the technique to set of experiments where human subjects play a repeated Prisoner's Dilemma. The technique suggests that two types of strategies underly the data.

Formato

335012 bytes

application/pdf

Identificador

ENGLE-WARNICK, Jim, McCAUSLAND, William J. et MILLER, John H., «The Ghost in the Machine: Inferring Machine-Based Strategies from Observed Behavior», Cahier de recherche #2004-11, Département de sciences économiques, Université de Montréal, 2004, 43 pages.

http://hdl.handle.net/1866/526

Relação

Cahier de recherche #2004-11

Palavras-Chave #strategy inference #Bayesian methods #experimental economics #Prisoner's Dilemma #repeated games #[JEL:C11] Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - Bayesian Analysis #[JEL:C15] Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - Statistical Simulation Methods; Monte Carlo Methods; Bootstrap Methods #[JEL:C72] Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - Noncooperative Games #[JEL:C73] Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games; Repeated Games #[JEL:C92] Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - Design of Experiments - Laboratory, Group Behavior #[JEL:C11] Mathématiques et méthodes quantitatives - Économétrie et méthodes statistiques; généralités - Analyse bayésienne #[JEL:C15] Mathématiques et méthodes quantitatives - Économétrie et méthodes statistiques; généralités - Méthodes de simulation statistique: la méthode Monte Carlo #[JEL:C72] Mathématiques et méthodes quantitatives - Théorie des jeux et négociation - Jeux non-coopératifs #[JEL:C73] Mathématiques et méthodes quantitatives - Théorie des jeux et négociation - Jeux stochastiques et dynamiques #[JEL:C92] Mathématiques et méthodes quantitatives - Organisation des expériences - Laboratoire et comportement de groupe
Tipo

Article