Abolishing mammography screening programs?

Biller-Andorno and Jüni (2014), in a widely debated commentary published in the May 22 issue of the New England Journal of Medicine, accept the concept that mammography every 2 years from age 50 can decrease breast cancer mortality by 20%, that is, from five to four deaths per 1000 women over a 10-year period. Both the absolute and the relative risk of breast cancer death may vary depending on the baseline mortality rates in various populations and on the impact of screening mammography in reducing breast cancer mortality, which may well vary around the 20% estimate adopted. We accept, therefore, that there are still uncertainties in the absolute and relative impact of mammography screening on breast cancer mortality, given the different study schemes and mammography intervals, the differences in populations, and the continuous improvements in technology (Warner, 2011; Independent UK Panel on Breast Cancer Screening, 2012). We also agree on the observation that mammography has an appreciable impact on breast cancer mortality (Bosetti et al., 2012), but clearly a much smaller one on total mortality.