The Omega model: from bankruptcy to occupation times in the red


Autoria(s): Gerber H.U.; Shiu E.S.W.; Yang H.
Data(s)

01/12/2012

Resumo

Ruin occurs the first time when the surplus of a company or an institution is negative. In the Omega model, it is assumed that even with a negative surplus, the company can do business as usual until bankruptcy occurs. The probability of bankruptcy at a point of time only depends on the value of the negative surplus at that time. Under the assumption of Brownian motion for the surplus, the expected discounted value of a penalty at bankruptcy is determined, and hence the probability of bankruptcy. There is an intrinsic relation between the probability of no bankruptcy and an exposure random variable. In special cases, the distribution of the total time the Brownian motion spends below zero is found, and the Laplace transform of the integral of the negative part of the Brownian motion is expressed in terms of the Airy function of the first kind.

Identificador

http://serval.unil.ch/?id=serval:BIB_4F61231721C9

isbn:2190-9733

doi:10.1007/s13385-012-0052-6

Idioma(s)

en

Fonte

European Actuarial Journal, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 259-272

Palavras-Chave #Omega model; discounted penalty; probability of bankruptcy, occupation times: airy functions
Tipo

info:eu-repo/semantics/article

article