A simple randomized algorithm for consistent sequential prediction of ergodic time series
Contribuinte(s) |
Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa |
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Data(s) |
15/09/2005
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Resumo |
We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if thesequence is a realization of a stationary and ergodic random process then the average number of mistakes converges, almost surely, to that of the optimum, given by the Bayes predictor. |
Identificador | |
Idioma(s) |
eng |
Direitos |
L'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/</a> |
Palavras-Chave | #Statistics, Econometrics and Quantitative Methods #prediction #ergodic processes #pattern classification |
Tipo |
info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |