A simple randomized algorithm for consistent sequential prediction of ergodic time series


Autoria(s): Györfi, László; Lugosi, Gábor; Morvai, Gusztáv
Contribuinte(s)

Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa

Data(s)

15/09/2005

Resumo

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if thesequence is a realization of a stationary and ergodic random process then the average number of mistakes converges, almost surely, to that of the optimum, given by the Bayes predictor.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10230/922

Idioma(s)

eng

Direitos

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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

<a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/</a>

Palavras-Chave #Statistics, Econometrics and Quantitative Methods #prediction #ergodic processes #pattern classification
Tipo

info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper