Growth, Democracy, and Civil War


Autoria(s): Brückner, Markus; Ciccone, Antonio
Contribuinte(s)

Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa

Data(s)

10/07/2013

Resumo

Does economic growth affect the likelihood of civil war? Answering this question requires dealing with reverse causation. Our approach exploits that international commodity prices have a significant effect on the income growth of Sub-Saharan African countries. We show that lower income growth makes civil war more likely in non-democracies. This effect is significantly weaker in democracies; as a result, we find no link between growth and civil war in these countries. Our reducedform results also indicate that lower international commodity price growth has no effect on civil war in democracies, but raises the likelihood of civil war incidence and onset in nondemocracies.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/2072/214242

Idioma(s)

cat

Direitos

Aquest document està subjecte a una llicència d'ús de Creative Commons, amb la qual es permet copiar, distribuir i comunicar públicament l'obra sempre que se'n citin l'autor original, la universitat i el departament i no se'n faci cap ús comercial ni obra derivada, tal com queda estipulat en la llicència d'ús (<a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/es/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/es/</a>)

Palavras-Chave #Commodity prices, rainfall, income growth, civil war
Tipo

info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper