Fact And Fictions In FX Arbitrage Processes


Autoria(s): Cross, Rod; Kozyakin, Victor
Data(s)

09/06/2014

09/06/2014

2014

Resumo

The efficient markets hypothesis implies that arbitrage opportunities in markets such as those for foreign exchange (FX) would be, at most, short-lived. The present paper surveys the fragmented nature of FX markets, revealing that information in these markets is also likely to be fragmented. The “quant” workforce in the hedge fund featured in The Fear Index novel by Robert Harris would have little or no reason for their existence in an EMH world. The four currency combinatorial analysis of arbitrage sequences contained in Cross, Kozyakin, O’Callaghan, Pokrovskii and Pokrovskiy (2012) is then considered. Their results suggest that arbitrage processes, rather than being self-extinguishing, tend to be periodic in nature. This helps explain the fact that arbitrage dealing tends to be endemic in FX markets.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10943/563

Publicador

University of Strathclyde

Relação

SIRE DISCUSSION PAPER;SIRE-DP-2014-003

Palavras-Chave #Arbitrage Sequences #Combinatorial Analysis #Asynchronous Systems #he Fear In-dex
Tipo

Working Paper