Does the euro dominate Central and Eastern European money markets?


Autoria(s): Cerrato, Mario; Kadow, Alexander; MacDonald, Ronald; Straetmans, Stefan
Data(s)

24/04/2012

24/04/2012

2010

Resumo

The so-called German Dominance Hypothesis (GDH) claimed that Bundesbank policies were transmitted into other European Monetary System (EMS) interest rates during the pre-euro era. We reformulate this hypothesis for the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that are on the verge of accessing the eurozone. We test this \Euro Dominance Hypothesis (EDH)" in a novel way using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach that combines country-speci c error correction models in a global system. We nd that euro area monetary policies are transmitted into CEE interest rates which provides evidence for monetary integration between the eurozone and CEE countries. Our framework also allows for introducing global monetary shocks to provide empirical evidence regarding the e ects of the recent nancial crisis on monetary integration in Europe.

Identificador

http://hdl.handle.net/10943/192

Publicador

University of Glasgow

Maastricht University

Relação

SIRE DISCUSSION PAPER;SIRE-DP-2010-55

Palavras-Chave #German Dominance Hypothesis #Global VAR #Central and Eastern Europe #monetary integration #European integration
Tipo

Working Paper