不同最小控制时段约束下黄河天然径流量变化阶段性

阶段性是描述河流径流量丰枯变化持续长度的主要特征。在年际变化较大的长时间序列中,通过确定不同最小控制时段,可以把高频变化的年份和时段有效合并,从而更好描述不同流量的持续特征。在划分径流量丰枯连续自然阶段的基础上,根据最小控制时段,对相邻阶段进行逐步合并,提取并分析了黄河三门峡水文站1470-1997年528 a的逐年天然径流量阶段性变化特征。分析表明,黄河天然径流量多年平均值为511.81×108m3,变差系数为0.20,年际变化非常剧烈;随着最小控制时段的增加,阶段数呈指数函数迅速减少;每一阶段平均、最小和最大阶段长度呈显著的线性增加趋势;各阶段天然径流量的差异也逐步减小。当最小控制时段为5,10,20,30 a时,可以划分为60,24,15,9个阶段,相应的平均阶段长度也分别为8.7,21.7,27.4,57.9 a,阶段最大值与最小值的极差分别是平均值的71.8%,62.4%,47.6%和13.7%。

Stage is an important character of runoff change.A method to divide the stage controlled by the least duration of each stage is put forward here to analyze the stage of runoff change of the based on the natural runoff data from 1470 to 1997 at Sanmenxia Hydrology Station of the Yellow River.Based on the natural stage according to continuous years that the natural runoff is higher or lower than the annual average runoff,and then to combine the stage or year short than the least duration of each stage with th...