Control dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome transmission


Autoria(s): 汪海英; 荣峰; 柯孚久; 白以龙
Data(s)

2003

Resumo

Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a serious disease with many puzzling features. We present a simple, dynamic model to assess the epidemic potential of SARS and the effectiveness of control measures. With this model, we analysed the SARS epidemic data in Beijing. The data fitting gives the basic case reproduction number of 2.16 leading to the outbreak, and the variation of the effective reproduction number reflecting the control effect. Noticeably, our study shows that the response time and the strength of control measures have significant effects on the scale of the outbreak and the lasting time of the epidemic.

Identificador

http://dspace.imech.ac.cn/handle/311007/33711

http://www.irgrid.ac.cn/handle/1471x/2704

Idioma(s)

英语

Fonte

Chinese Science Bulletin.2003,48(24):2684-2687

Palavras-Chave #Sars #Basic Reproduction Number #Effective Reproduction Number #Scale Of Epidemic #Lasting Time Of Epidemic #Sars
Tipo

期刊论文