Estimating the parameters of stochastic volatility models using option price data


Autoria(s): Hurn, A. Stan; Lindsay, Kenneth A.; McClelland, Andrew J.
Data(s)

2015

Resumo

This article describes a maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of the standard square-root stochastic volatility model and a variant of the model that includes jumps in equity prices. The model is fitted to data on the S&P 500 Index and the prices of vanilla options written on the index, for the period 1990 to 2011. The method is able to estimate both the parameters of the physical measure (associated with the index) and the parameters of the risk-neutral measure (associated with the options), including the volatility and jump risk premia. The estimation is implemented using a particle filter whose efficacy is demonstrated under simulation. The computational load of this estimation method, which previously has been prohibitive, is managed by the effective use of parallel computing using graphics processing units (GPUs). The empirical results indicate that the parameters of the models are reliably estimated and consistent with values reported in previous work. In particular, both the volatility risk premium and the jump risk premium are found to be significant.

Formato

application/pdf

Identificador

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/89591/

Publicador

Taylor & Francis Inc.

Relação

http://eprints.qut.edu.au/89591/1/__qut.edu.au_Documents_StaffHome_StaffGroupR%24_robinsm2_Desktop_Eprints_Stan%20Hurn_2015_Estimating%20the%20Parameters%20of%20Stochastic.pdf

DOI:10.1080/07350015.2014.981634

Hurn, A. Stan, Lindsay, Kenneth A., & McClelland, Andrew J. (2015) Estimating the parameters of stochastic volatility models using option price data. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 33(4), pp. 579-594.

http://purl.org/au-research/grants/ARC/DP120100837

Direitos

Copyright 2015 American Statistical Association

The Version of Record of this manuscript has been published and is available in Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 27 October 2015, http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/07350015.2014.981634

Fonte

QUT Business School; School of Economics & Finance

Palavras-Chave #stochastic volatility #jumps #risk premia #maximum likelihood #particle filter
Tipo

Journal Article